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NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

Name: NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
End: 2026-07-01T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$552.15

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

Vol

$552.15

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $552.15

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $552.15

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

25 markets tracked

Will Quinn Hughes win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Quinn Hughes win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	46%
Will Dylan Guenther win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	42%
Will Alex Tuch win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	41%
Will Dan Vladar win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	38%
Will Martin Necas win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	38%
Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	38%
Will David Pastrnak win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	37%
Will Sebastian Aho win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	37%
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	37%
Will Cutter Guanthier win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	36%
Will Cole Caufield win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	35%
Will Clayton Keller win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	35%
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	35%
Will Seth Jarvis win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	34%
Will Nick Suzuki win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	34%
Will Jack Eichel win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	30%
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	25%
Will Cale Makar win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	12%
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	7%
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	1%
Will Linus Ullmark win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	1%
Will Jake Oettinger win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	1%
Will Anze Kopitar win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	1%
Will Leon Draisaitl win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	1%
Will Sidney Crosby win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$552.15

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, thi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, thi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $552
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Linus Ullmark win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Seth Jarvis win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Quinn Hughes win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jake Oettinger win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Dan Vladar win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Sidney Crosby win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $446
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Cale Makar win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Anze Kopitar win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Nick Suzuki win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will David Pastrnak win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.1% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Alex Tuch win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Jack Eichel win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Dylan Guenther win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Cutter Guanthier win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Connor McDavid win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Sebastian Aho win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Cole Caufield win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Clayton Keller win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Martin Necas win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Leon Draisaitl win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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