Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved event is "Charlotte vs Brooklyn: 1st Quarter Spread," with the game listed as "CHA at BKN (Oct 21)" [1]. Each contract asks whether one team wins the first quarter by more than a stated margin. The source rule reads: "If Charlotte wins by more than X points in the 1st quarter of the Charlotte vs Brooklyn Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each market therefore has its own threshold and side, so contracts such as "Brooklyn wins 1Q by over 1.5 points" and "Charlotte wins 1Q by over 1.5 points" are separate questions.

The provider lists the market status as active and states that "This market will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1]. The source also says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1], but each market record carries an endDate of 2026-10-23T23:30:00.000Z [1]. The record does not show whether that field is the trading close, the expiry, or something else, so readers should check the provider page before relying on it.

Reading the snapshot

The observation time is 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z, and the archive was retrieved on 2026-10-28 [1]. These prices describe that earlier moment only. They are not current quotes, are not executable, and are not verified probabilities.

Within the saved sample, the Brooklyn "over 1.5 points" contract was priced at 0.575 Yes and the Charlotte "over 1.5 points" contract at 0.265 Yes [1]. Higher thresholds carry lower Yes prices on both sides, for example Brooklyn over 9.5 points at 0.22 and Brooklyn over 13.5 points at 0.115 [1]. Those are quoted snapshot values, not forecasts of the result.

Each contract's Yes and No prices sum to 1 in this snapshot, so they are two sides of one contract. Contracts with different thresholds or sides are not comparable as arbitrage, even where their prices differ.

What remains uncertain

This is a partial sample. The provider event has 13 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The omitted market is not identified in the supplied evidence, so no conclusion about its price is possible. The sample also covers only one provider event, so no comparison with other platforms or events is supported.

Volume is not included in the displayed prices, and the evidence does not report trader counts or liquidity. The evidence also does not explain why any price was at its observed level, and it contains no information on the game's outcome or on what happened after the observation time.

References

1. Kalshi: Charlotte vs Brooklyn: 1st Quarter Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.