Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers a single five-minute window for the HYPE/USD pair. According to the rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is given in UTC as 2026-10-28T10:45:00.000Z [1]. Readers should check both the title and the listed end time, since the window is defined by the title. This is a rule about one specific data stream, so it should not be read as a general view of Hyperliquid's price.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-27T14:58:27.613Z [1]. These are two different times. The prices below describe the market at the observation time, not at the retrieval time or now.
At observation, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.505 and the "Down" outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The saved record also does not report trading volume or the number of participants, so it says nothing about how liquid the market is.
The sample covers one market from one event on one platform. The coverage record shows 1 total market, 1 included, and no partial sample [1]. Because there is only one platform and one contract, there is no comparison to make against other contracts or other providers.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why the prices were where they were, and it does not show any price movement after the observation time. The record also does not establish whether the market will resolve "Up" or "Down." The provider status was "active" when retrieved, but the snapshot cannot confirm the final outcome or the actual TWAP values that will determine it [1].
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto price contract listed on Polymarket. Its title is "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET," and the saved provider record describes it as a five-minute window [1]. The contract asks whether the price of HYPE/USD over that window will finish at or above where it started. Under the rules as recorded, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) for the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution data comes from Chainlink, not from general exchange or spot markets. The rules name a specific Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source, and state that the contract concerns that feed alone and not other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because a trader reading a different price chart could reach a different view of what happened. The contract follows only the named feed. The record lists the contract's end time as 10:45 UTC on October 28, 2026, which corresponds to the 6:45AM ET end of the window in the title [1]. That listed end time is a date in the contract rules. It is not a report that the window has closed or that the market has resolved. The saved record also shows the provider status as active at the time it was retrieved [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of HYPE/USD over a short, fixed window, comparing an average price during the window with the price at the window's start [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade, the outcome depends on how the price moved across the whole window and not only on the final moment [1]. The named Chainlink feed defines what counts as the price, so the contract is a question about that specific data stream [1]. For readers, the price shown for each outcome is a market snapshot on the platform and reflects how participants were pricing the two outcomes at that time, not a guaranteed trade price or a verified probability.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an "Up" resolution mean for this contract?
The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What does "Down" mean?
If the TWAP over the window is below the price at the start of the window, the market resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is about that feed and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract end?
The saved record lists an end time of 10:45 UTC on October 28, 2026 [1]. This is the scheduled end time in the contract rules, not confirmation that the market has already resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.