Cruz Azul vs Juarez: Second Half Total
K 0 contracts
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Cruz Azul vs Juarez: Second Half Total
K 0 contracts
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
CRA vs JUA (Oct 17) If the total goals scored by Cruz Azul and Juarez is more than X goals in the 2nd Half of the Cruz Azul vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Cruz Azul vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored during the 2nd Half count towards this market. This market will close and expire after the half ends.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T15:00:06.111Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied evidence covers one Kalshi event, "Cruz Azul vs Juarez: Second Half Total" [1]. Its rules state that if the total goals scored by Cruz Azul and Juarez is more than X goals in the 2nd Half of the game "originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Only second-half goals count, and the rules say the market "will close and expire after the half ends" [1]. The excerpt also says that if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market "will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1].
The three saved markets differ only in their threshold: over 0.5, over 1.5, and over 2.5 second-half goals [1]. Each is a separate contract with its own Yes and No prices, so they should be read individually rather than combined.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-17T15:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T15:39:19Z [1]. They describe that moment only and are not live quotes. The recorded Yes prices were 0.84 for over 0.5 goals, 0.55 for over 1.5 goals, and 0.28 for over 2.5 goals [1]. The No prices were 0.16, 0.45, and 0.72 respectively [1]. Within each threshold, the Yes and No prices sum to approximately 1 in this snapshot, but these are quoted prices, not verified probabilities, and they do not indicate how much could be traded.
The saved markets are complete for this event: all three were included, and the sample is not marked as partial [1]. Even so, the evidence does not establish that these are every possible threshold a provider could list.
The rules and prices show no volume, trader count, or reason for the price levels, so this snapshot does not explain why the market is priced as it is.
What remains uncertain
The excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The market records include an end date of 2026-10-20T03:10:00.000Z [1], but the rules tie closing to the end of the half, and the evidence does not connect the two. Readers should not treat that field as the moment the contract stops trading.
Whether the game is played on October 17 is also unresolved in the evidence. The rules include cancellation and rescheduling terms, but the evidence contains no information about the game's status beyond the provider's "active" label [1].
Finally, the prices reflect one provider at one time. Different platforms may word their rules differently, so they should not be compared directly or averaged.
References
- Kalshi: Cruz Azul vs Juarez: Second Half Total. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T15:00:06.111Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Kalshi event on the second-half total goals in a Liga MX match between Cruz Azul and Juarez, which the provider lists as originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. Each market asks whether the total goals scored by both teams in the second half will be more than a stated threshold. The saved event includes three markets: over 0.5, over 1.5, and over 2.5 second-half goals [1]. The rules count only goals scored during the second half, so first-half goals do not affect these markets [1]. The market closes and expires after the half ends [1]. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away, the rules say the market resolves to a fair price under the provider's terms [1]. In the saved snapshot, the Yes price for over 0.5 second-half goals was 0.84, for over 1.5 it was 0.55, and for over 2.5 it was 0.28 [1]. These are observed prices at the time of capture, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The higher thresholds need more second-half scoring to resolve Yes, so their lower Yes prices reflect the contract structure as shown in the saved data [1].
Historical Context
Cruz Azul is a professional football club based in Mexico City that competes in Liga MX, the top division of Mexican football [2]. According to its Wikipedia entry, the club was founded in 1927 in Jasso, Hidalgo, by workers of the Cooperativa La Cruz Azul, and relocated to Mexico City in 1971 [2]. It was renamed Cruz Azul Fútbol Club, A.C. in 2012 and adopted its current name in 2022 [2]. The club plays home matches at Estadio Azteca [2]. This is historical background from a general encyclopedia entry and does not describe the status of the October 2026 match.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow outcome: whether the combined goals by Cruz Azul and Juarez in the second half of one scheduled match exceed a chosen line [1]. Because it isolates one half and one match, it reflects only that segment of play. The three threshold markets let a reader compare how the saved prices change as the line rises from 0.5 to 2.5 goals [1]. Trading volume and the number of market participants are not shown in the saved fields, so the prices should not be read as a measure of liquidity or market consensus.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Do first-half goals count toward this contract?
No. The rules state that only goals scored during the 2nd Half count toward the market [1].
When does the market close?
The rules say the market will close and expire after the half ends [1]. The saved market record also lists an end date, but the provider's rules do not describe that date as an announced event date [1].
What happens if the match is cancelled or rescheduled?
If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules [1]. The rules do not further specify that outcome in the saved excerpt.
Are these prices the chance that goals will be scored?
No. The saved prices are snapshots from the provider and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
