ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A spot price on another venue therefore does not determine the outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:10:54.077Z [1]. In that snapshot, the Up outcome was priced at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they describe only that observation time. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:00:00.000Z, and the provider status was active [1]. Readers should compare this listed close with the window stated in the title, since the contract's rules tie resolution to that range.
The sample includes one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows no partial sample, and the saved sample warning states that all saved markets for these events are included [1]. Because only one market is present, there is no other outcome to compare, and no cross-platform ranking applies.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include later prices, volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot show whether the 0.5 levels still hold or how the market has moved since observation. It also does not explain any change in ZEC/USD. The supplied material does not include the TWAP value or the reference price at the start of the range, so the outcome cannot be determined from this evidence. Resolution would depend on the Chainlink data stream for the stated window, which is not included here.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
PredictPedia tracks a short-interval price contract on Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET", in the crypto category. The contract asks whether the price of ZCash will finish a five-minute window above or below where it started. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The window is defined by the title, which lists 9:55PM to 10:00PM Eastern Time on October 19. The provider's listed end time for the contract is 2026-10-20T02:00:00Z [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink. The rules name its ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, and state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream for the ZEC/USD pair, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because a reader might assume the outcome follows the price on an exchange. Under these rules, it follows the Chainlink stream alone. The provider status recorded for this event at the time of observation was active [1]. That describes the listing at that moment. It does not establish how the contract later closed or resolved, and no resolution outcome appears in the saved record.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's price over a very short window, using a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price. Because the comparison is between the average over the window and the price at the start of that window, a brief move at the end does not decide the result on its own [1]. The rules also limit the measurement to one data stream, so the result is defined by that feed's reported values rather than by the broader market [1]. Readers should therefore treat the contract as a rule-defined question about one feed, with the listed prices reflecting the market's view of that question at the time they were recorded.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract actually measure?
It measures whether the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window. If it is, the contract resolves to Up; otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price data decides the outcome?
The outcome is determined by the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval. The rules state that other sources and spot markets are not used [1].
Does the market's listed price show the actual result?
No. The saved record shows the contract's listed outcomes and status at the observation time, and it does not include a resolution result [1].
When does the contract end?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-20T02:00:00Z, which corresponds to the 10:00PM Eastern close named in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
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