GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US airline fares CPI for June

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US airline fares CPI for June

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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11 markets tracked

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?	Kalshi	96%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 300.0ㅤ?	Kalshi	92%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 302.0ㅤ?	Kalshi	89%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?	Kalshi	85%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 306.0ㅤ?	Kalshi	78%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 308.0ㅤ?	Kalshi	71%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 310.0ㅤ?	Kalshi	61%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 312.0ㅤ?	Kalshi	51%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 314.0ㅤ?	Kalshi	41%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 316.0ㅤ?	Kalshi	19%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 318.0ㅤ?	Kalshi	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

June 2026 If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US airline fares CPI for June
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** June 2026

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 318.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 318.0ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 316.0ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 314.0ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 312.0ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 310.0ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 308.0ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 306.0ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 302.0ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 300.0ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US airline fares CPI for June

Volume$0.00

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 298.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City

KALSHI

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 300.0ㅤ?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 300.0ㅤ?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 300.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City

KALSHI

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 302.0ㅤ?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 302.0ㅤ?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 302.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City

KALSHI

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 304.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City

KALSHI

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 306.0ㅤ?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 306.0ㅤ?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 306.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City

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63¢

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US airline fares CPI for June

US airline fares CPI for June

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Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

US airline fares CPI for June

Markets (11)

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 300.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 300.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 302.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 302.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 306.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 306.0ㅤ?

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Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US airline fares CPI for June

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 300.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 300.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 302.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 302.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 306.0ㅤ?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 306.0ㅤ?

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