Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group D
PM $19.1K
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Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group D
PM $19.1K
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $19.1K
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between XI Esport and WRAITH PCIFIC in the European Pro League Regular Group D, initially scheduled for May 8 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "XI Esport" if XI Esport win the match against WRAITH PCIFIC. This market will resolve to "WRAITH PCIFIC" if WRAITH PCIFIC win the match against XI Esport. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied source describes a match-winner contract for the Counter-Strike match between XI Esport and WRAITH PCIFIC in the European Pro League Regular Group D. It states that the market "will resolve to 'XI Esport' if XI Esport win the match" and to "WRAITH PCIFIC" if WRAITH PCIFIC wins [1]. It also sets out 50-50 outcomes for cancellation, a tie, or a forfeit that ends the match before it starts. The stated resolution source is hltv.org, with a fallback to "a consensus of credible reporting" if final results are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion [1].
The saved markets in this snapshot are different. They are two map-level contracts, "Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?" and "Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?", each with Odd and Even outcomes [1]. The supplied evidence does not include the resolution rules for these map contracts, so the match-winner wording should not be applied to them.
The source gives a "Listed end time" of 2026-05-16T03:59:00Z, which is earlier than the retrieval time of 2026-10-17T11:38:03Z. The source also says the match was "initially scheduled for May 8 at 4:00AM ET" [1]. A listed end time is a contract field, not evidence that the match was played, resolved, or that the market is currently open. The provider status is recorded as "active," but the evidence does not establish what that status means for trading today.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the saved markets at 2026-10-17T09:00:05Z, and the data was retrieved at 11:38:03Z [1]. Each map market shows Odd at 0.5 and Even at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one provider. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The coverage data says all two saved markets for this event were included, with no partial sample, and the event has no other saved markets in this record [1]. The source also notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because only one provider appears in the evidence, there is no cross-platform comparison here.
The equal prices show only that the saved snapshot recorded the same figure for both sides. They do not show why, and they do not indicate how many participants held any position.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the match result, whether the match was played as scheduled, or whether either contract has settled. It does not include the map-level resolution rules, any current trading activity, or any reporting on the match. Readers should treat the 2026-05-16 listed end time as a historical field in the saved record, not as a live deadline.
References
- Polymarket: Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group D. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event for a Counter-Strike match between XI Esport and WRAITH PCIFIC, a best-of-three (BO3) contest in the European Pro League Regular Group D [1]. The provider's rules describe the event as a match-level contract: it resolves to XI Esport if XI Esport wins and to WRAITH PCIFIC if WRAITH PCIFIC wins [1]. The match was described as initially scheduled for May 8 at 4:00AM ET [1]. The saved event contains two additional markets, both titled as odd or even total kills, one for Map 1 and one for Map 2 [1]. Each lists two outcomes, Odd and Even. The most recent saved snapshot for both shows a price of 0.5 for each outcome, and both are recorded with an active status [1]. A price of 0.5 is a snapshot of the provider's displayed price at one moment. It is not an executable quote, a verified probability, or a signal of how the match will turn out. The provider lists an end time of 2026-05-16T03:59:00 UTC for these markets [1]. That is a date written in the contract rules, not an announced event date, and it falls before the time this page was generated. The status shown is the status recorded in the saved snapshot. The rules excerpt does not establish whether the match was played, when it was played, or how it was decided.
Why It Matters
The match-level contract measures which of the two named teams wins the scheduled match [1]. The two map markets measure a different property of the match: whether the total number of kills on each map is odd or even [1]. Because the outcome of each contract depends on a specific real-world result, its price can only be read as a market snapshot at the time it was recorded. The rules also set out fallback treatment for cancelled, tied, delayed, or forfeited matches, under which the market resolves 50-50 in several cases [1]. The rules name hltv.org as the resolution source, with a fallback to a consensus of credible reporting, including video evidence, if final results are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the match-level contract resolve?
It resolves to XI Esport if XI Esport wins the match against WRAITH PCIFIC, and to WRAITH PCIFIC if WRAITH PCIFIC wins the match against XI Esport [1].
What happens if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed?
The rules say that if the match is cancelled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The rules also say a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before the start resolves 50-50 [1].
What is the resolution source?
The rules name official information from hltv.org as the resolution source. If hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence [1].
Does a price of 0.5 mean each outcome has a 50 percent chance?
No. The saved prices are snapshots of the provider's displayed values at one moment, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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