Adams vs Noel
K 23.5K contracts
1
2
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Chloe Noel at 87.5%.
Kalshi
- Chloe Noel87.5%
- Julia Adams12.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 23.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Adams vs Noel (Oct 29) If X wins the Adams vs Noel professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Norman OK Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Adams vs Noel professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Norman OK Round of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, all markets will resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T18:00:06.063Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Kalshi event "Adams vs Noel" contains two binary markets on a professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Norman OK Round of 16. One market, "Chloe Noel wins," resolves Yes if Noel wins. The other, "Julia Adams wins," resolves Yes if Adams wins [1]. The source states: "If X wins the Adams vs Noel professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Norman OK Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes."
The rules also set different outcomes for other events. If the match is cancelled before a ball is played, "all markets will resolve to $0.50." If a player withdraws or forfeits after the match has started, "that player will resolve to No." If the match is postponed, the market "will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks" [1]. These clauses matter when comparing this contract with a similar market on another platform, because wording on cancellations, retirements, and walkovers can differ.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation time is 2026-10-29T18:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-29T19:03:19Z [1]. These are historical capture times, not live quotes.
At the observation time, the Noel market showed Yes at 0.875 and No at 0.125. The Adams market showed Yes at 0.125 and No at 0.875 [1]. Because the sample contains both players' binary markets for this one event and marks the sample as complete, the two outcomes can be read together. The snapshot therefore shows Noel as the higher-priced side and Adams as the lower-priced side at that time.
These figures are indicative prices from a single saved snapshot. They are not executable quotes, verified probabilities, or evidence of how the market has moved. The listed volume data, which is not included in this excerpt, would not establish liquidity either.
Each market lists an end date of 2026-11-12T17:00:00Z. The source separately states "Listed end time: not supplied" for the event, and the rules say the market closes "after a winner is declared" [1]. The listed date is therefore a provider field, not a confirmed match date or resolution date.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the match schedule, any news about the players, or the reasons for the observed prices. It also does not show whether the match has been played, postponed, or cancelled. Anyone comparing this contract with another platform should check that the rules match before comparing prices.
References
- Kalshi: Adams vs Noel. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T18:00:06.063Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This Kalshi event is a contract on a professional tennis match, Adams vs Noel, listed as part of the 2026 W35 Norman OK Round of 16. The saved event includes two markets: one for Chloe Noel winning and one for Julia Adams winning [1]. Each market is a Yes or No contract. The Yes outcome applies if the named player wins the match after a ball has been played [1]. The rules describe several scenarios. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball not being played, because of a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another cancellation before the match starts, all markets resolve to $0.50 [1]. If a player withdraws or forfeits after the match has started, that player resolves to No [1]. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1]. The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. In the saved market data, the Chloe Noel contract shows a Yes price of 0.875 and a No price of 0.125. The Julia Adams contract shows a Yes price of 0.125 and a No price of 0.875 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the saved observation, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The saved market data lists an end date of 2026-11-12, which is a field in the provider data rather than an announced event date. The contract rules themselves are tied to the match outcome, not to that date.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific player wins a specific tennis match. Its resolution depends on the match actually starting with a ball played, and on how withdrawals, forfeits, cancellations, and postponements are handled under the listed rules [1]. Because the two markets in this event are linked to the same match, the saved prices reflect how the market was pricing each player's chance of winning at the observed time, not a confirmed result [1]. The market is operated by Kalshi, which states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or officially connected with the governing league [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is cancelled before it starts?
If the match does not occur before the start, signaled by a ball not being played, because of an injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another cancellation, all markets resolve to $0.50 [1].
What happens if a player withdraws during the match?
If a player withdraws or forfeits after the match has started, that player resolves to No [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
The market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1].
Does a price near 0.875 mean a player has an 87.5 percent chance of winning?
The saved prices are snapshots and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They show the price recorded at the observed time, and the contract resolves only according to the match outcome and the rules listed [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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