This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

CZ # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Name: CZ # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?
End: 2026-05-05T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$8.79K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

CZ # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Vol

$8.79K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $8.79K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.79K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	59%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	41%
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will CZ post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

59%

Top Probability

$8.79K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution s

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** CZ # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 5, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution s

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $17.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.50)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will CZ post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will CZ post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CZ post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $791
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $588
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $392
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will CZ post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $687
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will CZ post 120-139 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $672
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will CZ post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $899
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $308
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $586
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics