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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Tatarnykov Volodymyr vs. Aristarkhov Serhii

Tatarnykov Volodymyr vs. Aristarkhov Serhii
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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume · provider units

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Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the table tennis match between Tatarnykov Volodymyr and Aristarkhov Serhii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 24 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatarnykov Volodymyr' if Tatarnykov Volodymyr wins against Aristarkhov Serhii. This market will resolve to 'Aristarkhov Serhii' if Aristarkhov Serhii wins against Tatarnykov Volodymyr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This Polymarket contract covers a table tennis match between Tatarnykov Volodymyr and Aristarkhov Serhii in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event [1]. The rules say the market "will resolve to 'Tatarnykov Volodymyr' if Tatarnykov Volodymyr wins against Aristarkhov Serhii," and the mirror condition applies to the other player [1]. A canceled or tied match, or one delayed more than 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover also resolves 50-50, while a player advancing because the opponent retired, defaulted, or was disqualified resolves to the player who advances [1].

The rules name the event's official statistics as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting as a fallback if final statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion [1]. The rules state the match was "scheduled for September 5 at 11:30AM ET" [1]. That is contract wording, not evidence of when the match was played.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T00:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T00:49:50Z [1]. Both outcomes were priced at 0.5 at observation [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and equal prices do not indicate what the match result will be.

The listed end time is 2026-09-12T15:30:00Z [1]. That date is earlier than the retrieval time, yet the provider reported the market as "active" at observation [1]. This snapshot therefore cannot tell you whether the contract has resolved, been settled, or remains open. The sample covers one platform and one market, with no volume data in the evidence, so no liquidity or trader-count conclusions can be drawn.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the match result, its final statistics, or whether a 50-50 condition applied. It also does not show any price movement over time, because only one observation is available. The sample includes all saved markets for this provider event, but that does not confirm that the provider lists every possible outcome in the real-world event [1]. No cross-platform comparison is possible from this record.

References

  1. Polymarket: Tatarnykov Volodymyr vs. Aristarkhov Serhii. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket contract on a men's table tennis match between Tatarnykov Volodymyr and Aristarkhov Serhii in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event [1]. The contract asks which player will win. The source gives the scheduled date as September 5 at 11:30 AM ET, and it lists a contract end time of September 12, 2026 at 15:30 UTC [1]. The snapshot was observed on October 16, 2026 at 00:00 UTC, which is after both dates. The source does not report the match result, so this entry describes the contract terms and the recorded price only, and it does not say who won. The contract resolves to the named player who wins the match [1]. The rules also cover several unusual outcomes. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days past its scheduled date without a winner, the contract resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not finished because a player retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the contract resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where one player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers [1]. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used instead [1].

Why It Matters

The contract measures which of the two named players is expected to win this single match, as reflected in the market price [1]. The recorded snapshot shows both outcomes at 0.5, which is a price snapshot taken at the observation time and not an executable quote or a verified probability [1]. The contract's rules also define how cancellations, delays, retirements, and walkovers are settled, so the outcome of an unusual event can differ from a simple win or loss [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

Who does this contract resolve to if the match is a clean win?

It resolves to the player who wins the match against the other player [1].

What happens if the match is canceled or not played?

If the match is canceled or not played at all, the contract resolves 50-50 [1].

What happens if a player retires or is disqualified during the match?

If the match begins but is not completed because a player retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the contract resolves to the player who advances [1].

Where does the result come from?

The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].

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Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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