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Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

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Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

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Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	79%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	64%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	33%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.84 on Dec 31?	Kalshi	32%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.99 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	22%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $2.29 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	21%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $2.14 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	20%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $2.44 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	18%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $2.59 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	12%

AI Analysis

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79%

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About This Event

05/26/26 If the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour is above X by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour as reported by Ornn, https://dashboard.ornnai.com/. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The "USD" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding "No data" or "No

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 05/26/26

If the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour is above X by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour as reported by Ornn, https://dashboard.ornnai.com/. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The "USD" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding "No data" or "No

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour is above $2.59 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration wil"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $2.59 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $2.44 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $2.29 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $2.14 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.99 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.84 on Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

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KALSHI

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?

If the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour is above $1.39 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration wil

KALSHI

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?

If the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour is above $1.54 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration wil

KALSHI

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?

If the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour is above $1.69 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration wil

KALSHI

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.84 on Dec 31?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.84 on Dec 31?

If the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour is above $1.84 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration wil

KALSHI

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.99 by Dec 31?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.99 by Dec 31?

If the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour is above $1.99 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration wil

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Fn8y57" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?"></iframe>

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Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

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Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?

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Events (1)

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Markets (9)

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.84 on Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.84 on Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.99 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.99 by Dec 31?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.84 on Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.84 on Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.99 by Dec 31?

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.99 by Dec 31?

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Discussion

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