Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers a single Dogecoin price window, shown in the title as 3:55AM to 4:00AM ET on October 25. According to the source, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1].
The source also specifies the resolution data. It names "the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream" from Chainlink and states that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a Dogecoin market on another platform should check whether that market uses the same source, window, and comparison rule, since a different reference price could change what "Up" means.
The listed end time is 2026-10-25T08:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed close time in the provider data. It is not evidence of when the market will resolve or when any result will be published.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-24T12:52:32.967Z [1]. These times describe when the saved snapshot was taken. They do not show the current price, and the market's status was recorded as "active" only at that retrieval [1].
The saved snapshot lists two outcomes: "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because both prices are equal in this record, the snapshot shows no difference between the two outcomes at that moment. It does not indicate how traders view the outcome, and the evidence contains no trader counts or explanation for the price.
The sample covers one market from one event. The coverage record reports one total market and one included market, with no partial sample [1]. Volume is not included in the supplied evidence, so no liquidity conclusion can be drawn.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show prices after the saved observation time, so any later price is unknown from this record. It also does not state the price at the beginning of the window, which the resolution rule depends on [1].
The source does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not provide news or other context. Because this is a binary contract with one provider event, the sample does not establish that no other outcomes exist, and comparison with contracts on other platforms should wait until their wording, data source, and close times are checked.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-window price question on Dogecoin, listed on Polymarket under the title "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET" [1]. It is in the Crypto category and covers a five-minute range on October 25, 2026 [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-25T08:00:00.000Z [1]. The contract has two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. According to the saved provider record, "Up" resolves if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, the contract resolves "Down" [1]. The comparison is therefore between an average price across the window and the starting price, not between a price at the close and a price at the open. The resolution source is Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider states that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink stream for the DOGE/USD pair, and not according to other sources or spot markets [1]. Anyone reading a price on a different exchange or data feed would therefore be looking at a different reference from the one named in the contract rules. The saved record shows both outcomes at 0.5 in the observation captured at 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z [1]. That reading describes the market at that earlier moment. It is not a current quote, and it does not indicate how the market is priced now or what the contract will resolve to.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink DOGE/USD time-weighted average price over the five-minute window from 3:55 AM to 4:00 AM ET on October 25, 2026 is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average over the window rather than a single moment, a brief move near the end of the range may affect the result differently than it would under a closing-price rule. The contract's rules name one data stream as the reference, so the result is defined by that stream and not by general market price moves [1]. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-25T08:00:00.000Z [1]. That is a date from the contract rules and does not show when the market will close in practice or when resolution will be reported.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the stated range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price source is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider says other sources and spot markets are not the reference [1].
Are the prices shown for this contract current?
The saved outcome prices of 0.5 for Up and 0.5 for Down come from an observation at 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z [1]. They are snapshots from that time and are not live quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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