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Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?

Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?
Vol

PM $4.7K

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Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 82% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes82%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $4.7K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

"Grand Theft Auto VI" is scheduled to release November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the officially announced sales revenue for "Grand Theft Auto VI" in the first 24 hours following its release exceeds $815.7 million, the current Guinness World Records-recognized highest-grossing videogame revenue in 24 hours (set by Grand Theft Auto V in 2013). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Sales revenue" refers to any officially announced U.S. dollar figure for revenue from sales of the game during the specified period, including retail sell-through, gross revenue, or net bookings. If multiple qualifying figures are announced, the highest will be used. Announcements that state only the number of units sold (e.g., "25 million copies sold") will not qualify. If such a figure is announced in a currency other than U.S. dollars, this market will resolve according to the converted value in U.S. dollars using the applicable conversion rate at the time of announcement. This market will only consider sales revenue figures for the first 24 hours of wide release, beginning at the game's standard worldwide launch. Early-access periods for premium or special editions will not be considered part of the first 24 hours. A figure described as the game's "first day" or "launch day" sales revenue will be treated as a first 24 hour figure, regardless of staggered release times across time zones. Figures covering any other timeframe will not be considered. Figures stated as a lower bound (e.g., "over $1 billion" or "more than $800 million") will qualify only if the stated bound exceeds $815.7 million. If no exact figure is available, figures stated as approximations (e.g., "about" or "around") will be taken at their stated value, while figures described as "nearly," "almost," or "just under" a value will be treated as just below that value. Revenue from pre-orders recognized as part of launch sales and from all editions of the game, including premium and special editions, will count. Revenue from in-game purchases, including GTA Online currency, will not count. This market will only consider officially announced first 24 hour sales revenue figures from a developer or distributor of GTA VI or an authorized representative thereof. Recognition of a new record by Guinness World Records is not required. If "Grand Theft Auto VI" is not released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if its first 24 hour sales revenue has not been announced by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement from Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiCulture
Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

PM $58.7K · K 894.9K contracts

Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?

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Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 26, 2026 UTC
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Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch

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What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? (Blinding Lights)Yes 32%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
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GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price

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+1 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
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Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026

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+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
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Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 24, 2026

Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 24, 2026

K 2.7K contracts
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 24, 2026? (At least 175,000)Yes 98.5%
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 24, 2026? (At least 180,000)Yes 97.5%
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 24, 2026? (At least 185,000)Yes 92%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
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K 186.43 contracts
Will United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 be above -0.4%?Yes 89.5%
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+8 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC

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