Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET" [1]. Its rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-16T11:10:00.000Z [1]. This is the closing time shown in the provider record. It is separate from the provider observation time and from the time this explanation was retrieved, and it is not a confirmed resolution result.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:24:40.234Z [1]. Both times are earlier than the listed close, so the prices below describe that observation window only.
The saved prices are "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. Because these are snapshot prices, they are not executable quotes and should not be treated as verified probabilities. The record does not include volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each position.
What remains uncertain
The sample covers one provider event with one market, and all of its saved markets are included [1]. The sample does not show whether other outcomes or other providers exist for this window, and the evidence does not establish a full field of possible outcomes.
The evidence also does not explain why the prices stand at 0.5 or whether they have changed since the observation time. No outcome has been resolved in the supplied material, so the result of this contract is unknown. Readers comparing this contract with another should check each contract's wording, time window, resolution source, and listed close before drawing any conclusion.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a short-window price contract on Dogecoin, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET" and listed in the Crypto category. It is offered on Polymarket, and the provider's event page describes it as active with a listed end time of 2026-10-16T11:10:00.000Z [1]. The contract asks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down over a five-minute window. Under the stated rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, which the provider links in its rules [1]. The provider states that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for DOGE/USD, and not according to any other source or spot market [1]. Traders therefore need to understand how that particular data stream calculates its average, not just where Dogecoin is quoted elsewhere.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow, rule-defined question: whether the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the stated five-minute window finishes at or above the value at the window's start [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average over the window rather than a single moment's price, a brief spike or dip at the edges of the window does not decide the result on its own. The rules as written compare the averaged value with the starting price, so the wording matters [1]. The market's price is a snapshot of trading in the contract, not a verified probability that Dogecoin will rise. The provider's sample for this event contains only this one contract, with outcomes "Up" and "Down" [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which data source is used to settle the market?
The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the provider states that other sources or spot markets are not used for settlement [1].
When is the listed end time for this contract?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-16T11:10:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed end time in the contract information, not a record of when the market has actually resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
