Lukianevych Valerii vs. Karelov Maksym
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Lukianevych Valerii vs. Karelov Maksym
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 10, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Lukianevych Valerii and Karelov Maksym in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for November 11 at 2:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lukianevych Valerii' if Lukianevych Valerii wins against Karelov Maksym. This market will resolve to 'Karelov Maksym' if Karelov Maksym wins against Lukianevych Valerii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied market asks who wins a table tennis match between Lukianevych Valerii and Karelov Maksym in Setka Cup Ukraine Men [1]. The rules state that the market "will resolve to 'Lukianevych Valerii' if Lukianevych Valerii wins against Karelov Maksym," and describe the match as "scheduled for October 28 at 3:05PM ET" [1]. These are contract terms. They do not confirm that the match was played on that date.
The rules also define several special cases. A canceled match, a tie, a delay beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, or a walkover resolves 50-50. If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is official event statistics. A consensus of credible reporting is used only if final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-04T19:05:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is dated 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z. The source was retrieved on 2026-11-08T03:08:29.318Z, and the record is archived [1]. These are different times, and the prices below describe only the saved observation, not current prices.
At observation, Lukianevych Valerii was priced at 0.0005 and Karelov Maksym at 0.9995 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample contains one binary market from one provider event, and it is complete for that event, so no other outcomes or platforms are being compared. The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot support conclusions about market depth or agreement among participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the match result, whether the match was played on the stated date, or how the market settled. The listed end time falls before the retrieval date, but the archived record shows an "active" status only at observation [1]. It does not confirm the status at retrieval. Readers should check the resolution source and the market's final status directly.
The evidence also does not explain why the observed prices were at these levels. Because the sample covers one event and one market, it should not be read as representative of other table tennis matches or of other contracts on the platform.
References
- Polymarket: Lukianevych Valerii vs. Karelov Maksym. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 8, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a single prediction market on a table tennis match, Lukianevych Valerii vs. Karelov Maksym, in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The contract is listed on Polymarket and is a two-outcome market: it resolves to whichever player wins the match [1]. The contract describes the match as scheduled for October 28 at 3:05 PM ET, and that date appears in the contract's rule text rather than as a separately announced event notice [1]. The contract also sets out what happens in unusual cases. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match starts but is not finished, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event, as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The provider lists the market as active, with a listed end time of November 4, 2026 at 19:05 UTC [1]. That listed end time is the provider's stated closing time for the contract and is not a record of when the match was played or when the market resolved.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: which of the two named players wins the Setka Cup Ukraine Men match. The price shown for each outcome is a provider snapshot taken at the observation time, not an executable quote or a verified probability of either player winning [1]. The rules also show how the contract handles cancellations, walkovers, and early finishes, which determine whether the market pays out to one player or resolves 50-50 [1]. Traders reviewing this contract would therefore need to read those rules alongside the outcome names.
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether the market resolves to one player?
The market resolves to the player who wins the match. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, it resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if one player retires or is disqualified during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What source is used to settle the contract?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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