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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Name: LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
End: 2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$11.00

Events

Markets

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LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Vol

$11.00

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $11.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.00

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	51%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner	Poly	50%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	49%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	49%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	49%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	36%
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)	Poly	36%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	Poly	34%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	8%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$11.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 8 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win the match against LNG Esports. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win the match against Ultra Prime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 5

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 8, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 8 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win the match against LNG Esports.

This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win the match against Ultra Prime.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 5

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 8 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win Game 2 against LNG Esports.

This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win Game 2"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11
* **Total Liquidity:** $20.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Ultra Prime: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [LNG Esports: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [LNG Esports: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [Ultra Prime: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Ultra Prime: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [LNG Esports: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Ultra Prime: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [LNG Esports: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Volume$11.00

Markets23

23 of 23

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Ultra Prime and LNG Esports each destroy at least one enem

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

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44¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/GF51Hp" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana"></iframe>

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LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

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Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Markets (23)

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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