Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew: Total Games
K 0 contracts
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Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew: Total Games
K 0 contracts
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Over 16.5 games at 72.5%.
Kalshi
- Over 16.5 games72.5%
- Over 21.5 games46.5%
- Over 26.5 games39%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Oct 25) If the number of completed games in the full match is above X in the Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Guangzhou Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Guangzhou Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is a set of "Over" threshold markets on the number of completed games in the Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Guangzhou Round Of 32 match [1]. Each market resolves to Yes if the completed games in the full match are above its threshold. The three saved markets use thresholds of 16.5, 21.5, and 26.5 games [1].
The rules cover several cases. If the match does not occur before it starts, the market resolves to a fair price under the rules. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market "will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks" [1]. If a retirement occurs, markets that can be settled on play already completed resolve accordingly, and others resolve to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-25T17:22:04.276Z [1]. They describe that saved snapshot, not the present day, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The quoted Yes prices are 0.725 for Over 16.5 games, 0.455 for Over 21.5 games, and 0.39 for Over 26.5 games. Each market's No price is the complement of its Yes price in the saved data. Because the thresholds are different contracts, the prices should be read one market at a time. They should not be combined or averaged. The saved data also do not explain why the prices took these levels, and a higher Yes price on a lower threshold is simply what the snapshot shows.
The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, and the provider reports the sample as not partial [1]. This does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for the match.
Volume is not included in the evidence, so nothing here reflects liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The provider status is recorded as "active", but the listed end time is "not supplied" [1]. The listed endDate of 2026-11-09T03:00:00.000Z in the market data is a close field, not an announced match date or a confirmed resolution date. The excerpt says the market "will close and expire after the event occurs" [1], so the actual close depends on the match and any postponement or retirement.
The evidence does not show the match's current status, whether it has started, or whether any retirement or delay has occurred. Any reading of these prices should be checked against the provider's current listing.
References
- Kalshi: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew: Total Games. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a Kalshi event titled "Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew: Total Games." The contract concerns a professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Guangzhou Round Of 32, and each market asks whether the number of completed games in the full match will be above a stated threshold. If the count is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The saved event includes three thresholds: over 16.5 games, over 21.5 games, and over 26.5 games. Each is a separate contract with its own Yes and No outcomes [1]. The rules also address matches that do not take place. If the match does not occur, whether because of a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another cancellation before the match starts, the market resolves to a fair price under the rules [1]. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1]. If a player retires, markets that can be settled unconditionally from play already completed resolve on that basis, and any markets that cannot be settled that way resolve to the Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange [1]. The source states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, or endorsed by the governing league, and that the market closes and expires after the event occurs [1]. The saved market data lists an end date of November 9, 2026, but the contract text does not identify that date as a scheduled match time, so it should not be read as one.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the total number of completed games in one specific match rather than who wins it. Each threshold market asks whether that total will exceed a given number, so the outcome depends only on how many games are completed in the full match [1]. The rules that handle cancellation, postponement, and retirement determine how the contract settles if the match is not played in the normal way [1]. The price figures in the saved market sample are snapshots and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts toward a Yes resolution?
A market resolves to Yes if the number of completed games in the full match is above the threshold in its title, such as 16.5, 21.5, or 26.5 [1].
What happens if the match is cancelled before it starts?
If the match does not occur because of an injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another cancellation before the match starts, the market resolves to a fair price under the rules [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
The market stays open if the match is postponed or delayed, and it closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1].
What happens if a player retires?
If a retirement occurs, markets that can be settled unconditionally on play already completed resolve on that basis. Markets that cannot be settled that way resolve to the Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange [1].
Is this contract connected to the tennis governing body?
The source states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, or endorsed by the Governing League and is not officially connected with it [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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