Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The market is titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET" and is listed on Polymarket [1]. Its rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules, and the rules say the market is about that stream, "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-01T21:55:00.000Z [1]. The title gives its window in Eastern Time, so readers comparing it with the UTC end time should convert the window themselves.

Reading the snapshot

The saved observation is timestamped 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-01T10:57:02.215Z [1]. The prices below describe the earlier observation, not a live reading at retrieval. At that observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.5 and the Down outcome was priced at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The record includes no volume or depth data, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants are involved.

The sample covers one Polymarket market within one provider event. Coverage shows 1 of 1 markets included and no partial sample [1]. Because only this contract is saved, there is no comparison with other platforms or other windows. This snapshot should not be combined with rankings from other events.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the prices stood at 0.5 at the observation time. It also does not show whether they have changed since 09:00 UTC. The provider status is recorded as active, but the excerpt does not include a later price [1]. The outcome depends on the Chainlink TWAP compared with the price at the start of the window, and this record does not show that result. Readers should check the current listing and the referenced Chainlink stream directly before relying on any figure.

References

1. Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z.