Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved event is titled "Boston vs Orlando: 4th Quarter Winner," and its rules say that "If X wins the 4th quarter, excluding overtime, of the Boston vs Orlando Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." The rules add that "Only points scored during the 4th quarter, excluding overtime, of play count towards this market." [1] Overtime points therefore do not count, and the word "originally" signals that the rules refer to the game as scheduled. The rules also say "This market will close and expire after a winner is declared." [1]

The event has three saved markets: a "4th quarter tie" contract and separate contracts for "Orlando wins the 4th quarter" and "Boston wins the 4th quarter." [1] Each has Yes and No outcomes. The tie contract's wording is its own rule, so readers should check each market's title before comparing them.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T19:12:07.542Z. [1] This is a saved snapshot, not a live reading. In it, every listed outcome is priced at 0.5 for Yes and 0.5 for No. [1] These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Equal prices in one saved snapshot show only that these quotes matched at that moment. They do not indicate why the market was set this way or how traders view the outcome.

The provider lists an end date of 2026-11-03T20:30:00.000Z for each market. [1] That field is a listed close time in the provider data. It is not a record of when the game was played or when the contract resolved. The supplied excerpt also states "Listed end time: not supplied," so the excerpt and the market data do not fully agree on close timing. Readers should rely on the rule that the market closes after a winner is declared.

The sample covers all three saved markets for this single Kalshi event, and it is not partial. [1] The sample warning notes that the provider's saved markets do not establish a complete list of possible real-world outcomes. [1] No cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the game's result, whether it has been played, or whether any contract has resolved. It does not explain any price movement, trader count, or liquidity. Volume data is not included in this snapshot. The rules are not a confirmed event schedule, and the date in them is not an announced outcome. Any current status must be checked against a newer provider retrieval.

References

1. Kalshi: Boston vs Orlando: 4th Quarter Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z.