Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract asks whether SOL/USDT on Binance will rise or fall over one specific hour. It resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules say the open and close shown for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once that candle's data is finalized [1]. The market concerns the Binance pair specifically, "not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-29T02:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's listed close time, not a date for any announcement.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record was observed at 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z and retrieved at 2026-10-27T05:30:14.623Z [1]. In that observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from a past observation. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they should not be read as current prices. The two prices sum to 1.00, and Up is slightly higher, by 0.01. This record covers one market on one platform, so it offers no cross-platform comparison. It also includes no volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot show market depth or how many people hold each view.
What remains uncertain
The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The sample warning says all saved markets for this event are included, but this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome [1]. The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do, or how they have changed since observation. Comparing this contract with a similar one on another platform would require checking that the wording, the candle, the data source, and the listed close time all match. Even then, a price difference alone does not indicate an arbitrage opportunity. The provider status was recorded as active at retrieval [1], but any current status needs a fresh retrieval.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a Polymarket contract titled "Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET" in the crypto category. It asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will rise or fall over one specific one-hour candle. The rules say the market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The contract therefore compares only two prices for a single candle, not a price target or a longer trend. The saved provider record lists two outcomes, Up and Down, and describes the market as active [1]. The sample used for this article was recorded on October 27, 2026 at 03:00 UTC, and it contains only this one market, so it shows the Up and Down prices at that moment and nothing about how the contract has traded since. The rules also state how the outcome is settled. The open and close figures shown at the top of the Binance chart for the relevant "1H" candle are used once the data for that candle is finalized [1]. Until then, the candle's result is not yet fixed, so the contract is not decided by any price seen before the candle closes.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of SOL's price over one hourly candle on Binance's SOL/USDT pair. It does not measure Solana's price across all exchanges, its longer-term performance, or the result of any event outside that candle. A reader should therefore read the Up and Down prices as the market's relative pricing of that single comparison on the named source [1]. The contract's rules tie its outcome to a specific data source and time window, so the exact definitions in the rules determine what the market is actually about [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves Up if the close price of the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle is greater than or equal to its open price. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is Binance's SOL/USDT pair. The rules say the market is about the price on Binance, not on other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
When are the open and close prices taken for settlement?
The open and close figures shown for the relevant 1H candle on the Binance chart are used once the data for that candle is finalized [1].
Does the listed end time mean the contract is settled at that moment?
The provider record lists an end time of 2026-10-29T02:00:00.000Z [1]. The settlement rules, however, depend on the finalized data for the candle, as described above [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.