Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?

Name: Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?
End: 2027-01-21T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.22K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?

Vol

$2.22K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.22K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.22K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?	Poly	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

14%

Top Probability

$2.22K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 99th Academy Awards, given by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS), honor the best in film for movies released in the United States between January 1 and December 31, 2026. The nominations for the 99th Academy Awards are scheduled to be announced on January 21, 2027, with the awards ceremony scheduled for March 14, 2027, at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, California. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Holland receives an Oscar nomination during the official nominati

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 21, 2027 (102 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 99th Academy Awards, given by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS), honor the best in film for movies released in the United States between January 1 and December 31, 2026. The nominations for the 99th Academy Awards are scheduled to be announced on January 21, 2027, with the awards ceremony scheduled for March 14, 2027, at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, California.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Holland receives an Oscar nomination during the official nominati

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $492
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.51)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture