Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T15:00:00.000Z, and the provider reports the status as active [1]. The contract's end time is when the market closes for trading. The rules describe the measurement window, but the supplied evidence does not show when or how the resolution was recorded.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation time is 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T19:51:33.111Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation, not the moment you are reading this.
- Up: 0.5
- Down: 0.5 [1]
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include order book depth, spreads, or trading volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many traders hold each side. The equal prices describe only the saved observation. The evidence does not explain why the prices were where they were.
The sample covers one market from one platform. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. The sample warning still applies: the saved markets are complete for this event, but that does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether these prices have changed since the observation. It also does not show the Dogecoin price at the start of the window or the TWAP value during it, so the outcome cannot be determined from the supplied material. Readers comparing this contract with similar markets on other platforms should check each contract's exact wording, measurement source, and listed end time. Differences in these details mean the prices are not directly comparable, and a price gap between contracts is not by itself an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window Dogecoin contract listed on Polymarket. Its title is "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET" [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T15:00:00Z [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The contract states that it concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the DOGE/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader should therefore read the outcome as a question about that specific TWAP measurement, not about the price on any particular exchange. The contract was active when the source was observed on 2026-10-26 at 18:00 UTC, and the record was retrieved later that day [1]. Observation, retrieval, the contract's closing time, and the eventual resolution are separate events. The listed end time describes when the contract closes, and it does not show how the market resolved.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over a specific eleven-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it compares an average over the window with the starting price, the result depends on the TWAP data stream rather than a single trade or a single spot quote [1]. The contract's rules say its outcome is tied to that data stream and not to other markets [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as an "Up" resolution?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of Dogecoin over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price feed determines the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The contract states that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
When does the contract close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T15:00:00Z [1]. This is the contract's listed closing time and does not show a resolution result.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.