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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Name: Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
End: 2026-04-24T19:35:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.65M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Vol

$3.65M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.65M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.65M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$3.65M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between PARIVISION and Aurora in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 24 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 24, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between PARIVISION and Aurora in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 24 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Aurora.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against PARIVISION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items.

This market will resolve to "Yes"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports