ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
PM $0
1
1
ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the ZCash price over a five-minute window. [1] The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down." [1] The stated resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market is about that data stream "not according to any other sources or spot markets." [1]
The title gives the window as "11:00AM-11:05AM ET," while the listed end time is 2026-10-16T15:05:00.000Z. [1] Readers should note that the title uses Eastern Time and the listed end time uses UTC. The end time is a contract closing time, not an announced event or a confirmed resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:24:28.943Z. [1] At observation, the provider status was "active," and the two outcomes were priced at 0.5 for "Up" and 0.5 for "Down." [1] Those prices show that the snapshot placed the two outcomes at equal quoted values. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample is complete for this provider event. It contains one market, and the coverage record reports no partial sample. [1] Because there is only one contract, there are no other outcomes in the saved sample to compare against.
Because the contract is a short-window price comparison, the snapshot describes the market at one moment. It does not describe how the market moved before or after that moment, and it does not show trading volume or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the ZCash price path during the window, the reference price at the start of the window, or the final TWAP value. It also does not show the resolution outcome. The snapshot is from before the listed end time, and the evidence does not confirm whether the contract has closed or resolved since retrieval.
The evidence also does not explain why the prices were equal. Readers should not treat this single contract as evidence about other ZCash windows, other platforms, or the wider crypto market. A different platform's contract with different wording or a different close time should not be compared directly with this one.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-duration crypto contract on ZCash (ZEC) against the US dollar, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET". The contract is listed in the Crypto category on Polymarket [1]. It asks whether the price of ZEC over one five-minute window will finish at or above where that window began. The contract's rules state that it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The outcome therefore depends on an average across the window compared with a starting reference, not on the price at the final moment. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair and not any other source or spot market [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a ZEC price shown on an exchange should expect that the two may not be the same measurement. The provider record lists the status as active and gives a listed end time of 2026-10-16T15:05:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time as recorded by the provider. It is not evidence that any result has been reached.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD time-weighted average price over the stated five-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the rules tie the outcome to a specific data stream and a specific time range, the result depends on those definitions rather than on general news about ZCash. The saved record shows Up and Down priced at 0.5 each at the observation time of 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z [1]. These are snapshot values from that time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The volume and sampling details in the application's data do not show how many people traded or how deep the market was.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an Up result mean for this contract?
An Up result means the TWAP of ZEC/USD from the Chainlink data stream over the 11:00AM to 11:05AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
What does a Down result mean?
The rules state that the contract resolves to Down if the condition for Up is not met [1]. In other words, the window's TWAP is below the starting price.
Is the resolution based on the ZEC price at the end of the window?
No. The rules describe a time-weighted average price over the range, compared with the price at the beginning of the range [1].
Do exchange prices for ZEC decide this contract?
The rules say the market is about the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for ZEC/USD, not any other sources or spot markets [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
