BNB Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the title's time range is "greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The stated resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
Readers comparing contracts should note two timing details. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is given in UTC as 2026-10-27T00:30:00.000Z [1]. The end time is the listed close, not a confirmed resolution. The evidence does not show a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation was taken at 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T04:05:36.900Z [1]. At observation, the provider reported the market as active. The quoted prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample covers one market from one platform. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because all saved markets for this event are included, no outcome was omitted from this record. The evidence still does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome, but this contract is binary, so the two quoted outcomes are the full set in the saved data.
The volume figure is not included in this evidence, so nothing can be said about liquidity or the number of traders. The evidence also contains no explanation for the quoted prices.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show prices after the observation time, so it cannot describe current conditions. It also does not include any other platform's contract on BNB, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Any difference in wording, window, or close time between contracts should be checked against each contract's own rules before comparing them. A price gap between different contracts does not by itself indicate an opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window crypto price contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET" on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of BNB over a five-minute window ends up above or below where it started. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The outcome is therefore tied to a specific data feed rather than to general market impressions. The rules state that the resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider also says the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream for the BNB/USD pair, and not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a BNB price on another exchange should expect that the two can differ, because the rules name only the Chainlink stream. The saved record lists two outcomes, Up and Down, with a snapshot price of 0.505 for Up and 0.495 for Down at the time the provider data was observed [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider record. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The listed end time in the provider record is 2026-10-27T00:30:00.000Z [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's price over one short window, as recorded by a specific Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because the comparison is between the window's time-weighted average and the price at the window's start, the result depends on how the price moved across the whole interval and not only on where it ended. Traders and readers can use the contract's rules to understand exactly what would count as an Up or Down outcome, which is the main purpose of this entry [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price feed is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is not based on other sources or spot markets [1].
Does a price near 0.5 mean the outcome is uncertain or predicted?
The recorded prices are snapshots from the provider record and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. They show the price at the time of observation and do not establish how likely either outcome is.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.