AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes
K 0 contracts
1
1
AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes
K 0 contracts
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Target price: TBD at 50.5%.
Kalshi
- Target price: TBD50.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Oct 28 - 5:00PM EDT to 5:15PM EDT If the value of the AUD/USD exchange rate is at least the value of the AUD/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at 5:00 PM EDT on October 28, 2026 At 5:15 PM EDT on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the Close price of the AUD/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network At 5:15 PM EDT on Oct 28, 2026. The Target Price of the value of the AUD/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at 5:00 PM EDT on October 28, 2026 equals the value of the AUD/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at the opening of the 15-minute window. "Above" means strictly greater than ( ). Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to 5 decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined at the specified time, the market may be resolved pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process under Rule 7.1, including by reference to a substantially equivalent replacement feed published by the Source Agency.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied source describes a single short-term contract on the AUD/USD exchange rate, with a 15-minute window from 5:00 AM to 5:15 AM EDT on October 28, 2026 [1]. The market resolves to Yes if the rate at 5:15 AM EDT is at least the rate at 5:00 AM EDT, as published by Pyth Network [1]. The source also says ""Above" means strictly greater than," which differs from the "at least" wording in the main rule, so readers should check how that tension is handled before relying on a specific edge case [1]. Settlement uses the Close price at 5:15 AM EDT, rounding is to five decimal places unless stated otherwise, and revisions after expiration are not counted [1]. The source notes that if no Expiration Value can be determined, the market may be resolved under a review process, including by reference to a replacement feed [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 09:00:05 UTC on October 28, 2026, and retrieved at 16:08:32 UTC the same day [1]. This is an archived record, not a live quote. It shows one market on one platform, Kalshi, with a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5, both listed as active at the time of observation [1]. These prices are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The snapshot does not include volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many traders took part.
The market data lists an end date of 2026-11-04 09:15 UTC [1]. The source excerpt, however, states "Listed end time: not supplied," and the 15-minute window in the rules refers to October 28 [1]. This conflict should be resolved against the provider before using the end date. The contract's own window, as written, has already closed relative to today's date.
What remains uncertain
Only one market and one event are included, and the coverage record reports no partial sample [1]. This does not establish that other contracts or outcomes exist. Because this is a single binary contract, no cross-platform comparison or averaging applies. The snapshot does not explain any price movement, and nothing in the evidence describes what drove the 0.5 values. Whether the market actually resolved, and to what outcome, is not shown in the supplied material.
References
- Kalshi: AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
The AUD/USD Up or Down contract is a 15-minute market on the Australian dollar against the US dollar. Its rules compare the exchange rate at the close of a 15-minute window with the rate at the window's opening. The saved Kalshi event covers the window from 5:00 AM to 5:15 AM EDT on October 28, 2026 [1]. The rules state that the market resolves to Yes if the AUD/USD exchange rate at 5:15 AM EDT is at least the rate at 5:00 AM EDT, as published by Pyth Network. The rate used at the window's opening is called the Target Price, and the resolution uses the Close price published by Pyth Network at 5:15 AM EDT. The comparison is strictly based on the published values, and the rules specify rounding to five decimal places unless stated otherwise [1]. The rules also say that revisions to the underlying data made after expiration are not used to determine the expiration value. If an expiration value cannot be determined at the specified time, the rules allow the market to be resolved under a Market Outcome Review Process, including by reference to a substantially equivalent replacement feed published by the Source Agency [1]. The saved market record lists an end date of November 4, 2026 at 09:15 UTC. The event excerpt separately lists the end time as not supplied, and the contract window described in the rules is the 15 minutes on October 28, 2026. Readers should rely on the contract rules for when the outcome is determined [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the AUD/USD exchange rate, as published by Pyth Network, is higher at the end of a 15-minute window than at its start. Because it is a short-window contract, its rules hinge on the exact timestamps and the specific data feed named in the terms [1]. Understanding the reference points matters more than the headline label, since the rules define which published values count, how rounding applies, and how a missing value is handled [1]. A market price on such a contract reflects a snapshot of trading at one moment and is not a verified probability of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price does the contract compare?
The contract compares the AUD/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at 5:15 AM EDT with the value published at 5:00 AM EDT on October 28, 2026. The 5:00 AM value is referred to as the Target Price [1].
When does the market resolve to Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if the closing value at 5:15 AM EDT is at least the Target Price. The rules say "Above" means strictly greater than, so the comparison is not satisfied by equality alone under the "Above" wording [1].
Are later revisions to the data counted?
No. The rules state that revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the expiration value [1].
What happens if the expiration value cannot be determined?
The rules say the market may be resolved under the Market Outcome Review Process under Rule 7.1, including by reference to a substantially equivalent replacement feed published by the Source Agency [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes
K 18.11 contracts
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes
K 0 contracts
USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes
K 0 contracts
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes
K 0 contracts
Miami vs Atlanta: Points
K 23.2K contractsWashington vs Cleveland: Points
K 17.1K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
