Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Bitcoin above ___ on October 15, 12PM ET?

Name: Bitcoin above ___ on October 15, 12PM ET?
End: 2026-10-15T16:00:00.000Z

Reported volume

PM $403.96

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on October 15, 12PM ET?

Vol

PM $403.96

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Provider overview

polymarket

$403.96

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

0 contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Bitcoin above 80,800 on October 15, 12PM ET?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Bitcoin above 80,800 on October 15, 12PM ET?	Poly	>99.9%
Bitcoin above 80,600 on October 15, 12PM ET?	Poly	>99.9%
Bitcoin above 80,400 on October 15, 12PM ET?	Poly	>99.9%
Bitcoin above 80,200 on October 15, 12PM ET?	Poly	>99.9%
Bitcoin above 80,000 on October 15, 12PM ET?	Poly	>99.9%
Bitcoin above 83,400 on October 15, 12PM ET?	Poly	<0.1%
Bitcoin above 82,600 on October 15, 12PM ET?	Poly	<0.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $403.96

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Bitcoin above ___ on October 15, 12PM ET?
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $403.96
Coverage: 7 of 7 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Bitcoin above 83,400 on October 15, 12PM ET?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5732783; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-83400-on-october-15-2026-12pm-et
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Contract: Bitcoin above 82,600 on October 15, 12PM ET?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5732787; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-82600-on-october-15-2026-12pm-et
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Contract: Bitcoin above 80,800 on October 15, 12PM ET?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5732795; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-80800-on-october-15-2026-12pm-et
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Contract: Bitcoin above 80,600 on October 15, 12PM ET?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5732796; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-80600-on-october-15-2026-12pm-et
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Contract: Bitcoin above 80,400 on October 15, 12PM ET?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5732797; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-80400-on-october-15-2026-12pm-et
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Contract: Bitcoin above 80,200 on October 15, 12PM ET?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5732798; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-80200-on-october-15-2026-12pm-et
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Contract: Bitcoin above 80,000 on October 15, 12PM ET?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5732799; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-80000-on-october-15-2026-12pm-et
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto