Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single "Solana Up or Down" market for the window named in its title, October 31, 3:30PM to 3:35PM ET. The contract resolves to "Up" if "the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The stated resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-31T19:35:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed close time in UTC. The title uses Eastern Time, so readers should confirm the conversion before relying on the window. The listed end time is a contract rule, not evidence of when the market was resolved. The evidence does not show a resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-31T05:47:18.811Z [1]. The prices below therefore describe the observation time, not the retrieval time, and should not be treated as live.
At observation, the provider reported "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495, with status "active" [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is 0.010 on the reported scale, and the sample contains no other trades or depth information to interpret it further.
The sample covers one market from one platform. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because this is a single binary contract, there is no other outcome in the sample to compare against. No cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show how the price changed before or after the observation, what drove it, or how it may differ now. It does not include trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants, so the snapshot cannot be read as a measure of market depth or consensus. The evidence also does not establish the SOL/USD price at the start of the window or the TWAP over the window, so the outcome cannot be determined from the supplied material. Any reader who needs the current state should check the provider directly after the retrieval time.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window contract on the Solana price, titled "Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET" and listed in the Crypto category. The contract is hosted on Polymarket [1]. It is a binary market with two outcomes, Up and Down, and its rules tie the result to a specific price data feed rather than to any exchange or general price source [1]. The resolution rule is that the market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the time range named in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. The window in the title runs for five minutes. The source states a listed end time of 2026-10-31T19:35:00.000Z [1], which corresponds to the 3:35PM ET end named in the title. The contract specifies that the resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream, with a 60-second TWAP stream identified in the rules [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the SOL/USD pair, not the price on any other source or spot market [1]. This means that a move on another exchange does not determine the outcome by itself. The result depends on how the Chainlink TWAP compares with the starting price for the window. At the time the provider data was observed, the provider listed the market as active [1]. The snapshot is a point-in-time record. It does not show the state of the market at the moment this page is read, and it does not show how the contract will resolve, since the window has not yet reached its listed end time.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink-reported time-weighted average price of SOL/USD across a five-minute window ends at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average over the window rather than a single print at the end, the result reflects the average level across the interval relative to the opening level. The contract is useful for understanding how a short-term directional question is defined precisely enough to resolve mechanically. Readers should note that the rules name one specific data stream, so a reader comparing this contract with a question about Solana's price elsewhere is looking at a different definition [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of Solana over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price data does the contract use?
The resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that the contract concerns that Chainlink data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract's window end?
The listed end time in the provider data is 2026-10-31T19:35:00.000Z, which matches the 3:35PM ET end named in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.