Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied event is a Primera División Argentina match between CS Independiente Rivadavia and CA Banfield, scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET [1]. The source describes its markets as halftime result markets covering "the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time" [1]. Three binary markets are included: whether Independiente Rivadavia leads at halftime, whether the score is a draw at halftime, and whether Banfield leads at halftime [1]. Each market's wording names a specific halftime state, so the three contracts are not interchangeable with a full-time result market.

The listed end time for all three markets is 2026-11-03T00:15:00.000Z [1]. This is the provider's listed close time. It is not a record of when the match was played or when any outcome was determined.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-23T04:33:46.333Z [1]. These are different timestamps, and the prices describe the provider's state at observation, not at retrieval. Each market shows a Yes price of 0.485 and a No price of 0.515 [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The three Yes prices are identical in this snapshot, but they answer different questions, so they should not be combined or treated as one distribution. Their sum has no meaning here. The sample is from one platform, Polymarket, so no cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence [1].

The saved sample includes all three markets for this event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. The source also notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Nothing in the evidence explains why the prices are at these levels.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the current prices, the number of traders, trading volume, or liquidity. It also does not show the match result, any halftime score, or whether the markets have since resolved. The provider status is recorded as active at the time of the source excerpt [1]. Readers should check the live contract rules and listed close time directly before drawing conclusions about the market today.

References

1. Polymarket: CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Banfield - Halftime Result. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z.