Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICrypto

When will Bitcoin cross $130k?

Total Volume

$43.29K

Events

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When will Bitcoin cross $130k?

Vol

$43.29K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $43.29K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $43.29K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	27%
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	23%
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	19%
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Apr 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	15%
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Mar 18, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	12%
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Feb 18, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	7%
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jan 21, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Dec 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Nov 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	2%
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Oct 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

27%

Top Probability

$43.29K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

When will Bitcoin cross $130k? If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before X Y 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index, BRTI, using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Bitcoin cross $130k?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** When will Bitcoin cross $130k?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before X Y 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index, BRTI, using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $43.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 12, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Mar 18, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 17, 2027): Vol $619
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 10, 2027): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2027): Vol $16.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jan 21, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 20, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Feb 18, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 20, 2027): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Apr 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 15, 2027): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Oct 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 28, 2026): Vol $478
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Nov 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 26, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Dec 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 23, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICrypto

When will Bitcoin cross $130k?

Volume$43.29K

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. T

KALSHI

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHICrypto

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.

KALSHI

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.

KALSHI

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Apr 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHICrypto

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Apr 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Apr 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.

KALSHI

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Mar 18, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHICrypto

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Mar 18, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Mar 18, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.

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When will Bitcoin cross $130k?

When will Bitcoin cross $130k?

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Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

When will Bitcoin cross $130k?

Markets (10)

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Apr 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Apr 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Mar 18, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Mar 18, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

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Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Bitcoin cross $130k?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Apr 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Apr 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Mar 18, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Mar 18, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

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