Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The event is titled "NB I (Hungary): 2026-27 Runner-Up" [1]. Each market asks whether one listed club will be the runner-up of the NB I (Hungary) for the 2026-27 season, and it resolves "Yes" or "No" under the stated rules [1]. Several conditions in the rules should be compared before reading any price. If a listed participant can no longer finish as runner-up under the league's rules, its market resolves to "No" [1]. If several teams are declared second-place finishers, the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically determines the outcome [1]. If the event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no runner-up is declared within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these markets at 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T06:26:11.283Z [1]. This describes that saved observation, not current trading. All 12 saved markets show a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 [1]. Because every market in this sample carries the same listed prices, the snapshot shows no ranking among the clubs. Every market also has the same listed close time, 2027-08-01T03:59:00.000Z [1]. That is a listed end time in the contract data. It is not an announced date for the season's conclusion, and the evidence does not establish when a runner-up would be determined.

The coverage record reports 12 total markets, 12 included, and no partial sample [1]. The selection rule orders markets by Yes price and then volume, but here the prices are identical, so the order carries no information about relative likelihood. These are snapshots, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices sit at 0.5, and it does not report trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants. The source states that all saved markets are included, but that does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Equal prices here should not be read as evidence that the clubs have equal chances. The source also notes that official information from the NB I (Hungary) is the resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The supplied evidence contains no standings, news, or result, so the current status of the season cannot be determined from it.

References

1. Polymarket: NB I (Hungary): 2026-27 Runner-Up. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.