Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026?
PM $7.1K
1
1
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026?
PM $7.1K
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 29% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes29%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $7.1K
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Gävle Goat, a traditional Christmas display erected annually in Gävle, Sweden, is set on fire by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Any fire on the Gävle Goat’s main structure will qualify, regardless of the extent of the damage or whether the goat remains standing; attempts that do not ignite the goat will not qualify. If the Gävle Goat is destroyed by other means, this will not qualify. The fire must be confirmed by an official Gävle Goat social media account, the City of Gävle’s official website, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
The Game Awards: Best Game Direction
PM $225.9K · K 87.3K contractsWill Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
Kalshi: Will Grand Theft Auto VI win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction?
Same question, fine print differs
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
Kalshi: Will Grand Theft Auto VI win the 2026 Game Award for Best Narrative?
Related contracts
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?
Kalshi: Will Grand Theft Auto VI win the 2026 Game Award for Best Narrative?
Same question, fine print differs
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Who will release a new album in 2026?
PM $159.9K · K 346.7K contractsWill JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Jay-Z release a new album in 2026?
Related contracts
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Nicki Minaj release a new album in 2026?
Related contracts
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31?
Kalshi: Will Lana Del Rey release a new album in 2026?
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Grammy nominees: Best New Artist
PM $38.3K · K 182.2K contractsWill Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Kalshi: 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (Ella Langley)
Related contracts
Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Kalshi: 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (SIENNA SPIRO)
Related contracts
Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Kalshi: 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (Slayyyter)
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
PM $114.4K · K 2.67M contractsWill Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
Kalshi: 2026 Game of the Year? (Grand Theft Auto VI)
Same question, fine print differs
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
Kalshi: 2026 Game of the Year? (Resident Evil Requiem)
Same question, fine print differs
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
Kalshi: 2026 Game of the Year? (Phantom Blade Zero)
Same question, fine print differs
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?
PM $37.2K
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
K 1.94M contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
