ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T18:00:06.916Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract covers a single 15-minute window. According to the saved rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The saved listed end time is 2026-11-02T03:30:00.000Z [1]. That is the close time recorded in the provider data, not a statement that the outcome has been determined. The source does not report a resolution, so none is described here.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation is from 2026-11-01T18:00:06.916Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-01T18:51:19.742Z [1]. These are different times. Prices reflect the moment of observation, so they should not be read as the live state of the market at the time you read this.
At that observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. Because this is a snapshot, the figures are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Volume and trade activity are not included in this record, so nothing can be inferred about liquidity or the number of participants.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Those figures describe the saved event only. They do not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for this window, and no other contract is available here for comparison.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices were at 0.5, and it does not establish any trend before or after the observation. It also does not show the actual TWAP values or the starting price for the window, so whether the outcome will be Up or Down cannot be determined from this record. Any comparison with similar contracts on other platforms would require separate evidence and should not be made by averaging or combining unlike outcomes.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T18:00:06.916Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto contract on Polymarket asking whether the price of ZCash (ZEC) will go up or down over a fixed window. The event is titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET" and is listed under the Crypto category [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract has two outcomes, Up and Down, and the saved market data shows these as the only outcomes for this event [1]. The price used for settlement is not a spot price from exchanges or other markets. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because a TWAP averages the price across the window rather than checking a single moment, so the outcome depends on how the average over the period compares with the starting price. The listed end time for the event is 2026-11-02T03:30:00.000Z [1]. The window named in the title is written in Eastern Time, so the contract's time range and its listed end time should be read together when checking when the window closes. The provider listed the event as active when it was retrieved [1]. That status describes the saved record at that time and does not establish whether the market is open or tradable now.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's price against the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over a short, specified window. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than one reading, it reflects the average price across the period compared with the price at the start [1]. Traders and readers can use the rules to see exactly which data feed and which comparison determine the result. The contract does not measure ZCash's price on other exchanges or in other markets, since the rules exclude those sources [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does this contract decide whether it resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to Up if the TWAP of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1].
Do prices on other exchanges or spot markets affect the outcome?
No. The rules say the market is about the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream and not any other sources or spot markets [1].
What does a time-weighted average price mean for this contract?
The contract compares the average of the Chainlink TWAP over the window with the starting price, so the result depends on the averaged price over the whole range rather than a single reading [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.