Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI

Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 1 Winner

Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 1 Winner
Vol

K 0 contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Carlos Alcaraz at 73.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Carlos Alcaraz73.5%
  2. Alex de Minaur26.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 (Nov 1) Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 (Nov 1) The following market refers to the Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Final. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketSports
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz

Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz

PM $6.1
Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazYes 55.5%
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazView outcomes
Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos AlcarazView outcomes
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz: Exact Match Score

Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz: Exact Match Score

K 0 contracts
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz match by a set score of 2-0?Yes 57%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz match by a set score of 2-1?Yes 22%
Will Alex de Minaur win the Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz match by a set score of 2-1?Yes 9.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 2 Winner

Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 2 Winner

K 0 contracts
Will Carlos Alcaraz win set 2 in the Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz matchYes 74%
Will Alex de Minaur win set 2 in the Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz matchYes 25.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Australian Open Exacta

Australian Open Exacta

K 0.01 contracts
Will Jannik Sinner and Elena Rybakina both win the Australian Open?Yes 10.5%
Will Carlos Alcaraz and Elena Rybakina both win the Australian Open?Yes 10%
Will Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka both win the Australian Open?Yes 9.5%
+147 moreNext deadline Feb 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz: Game Spread

Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz: Game Spread

K 0 contracts
Will Carlos Alcaraz win at least 1.5 more games than Alex de Minaur?Yes 74%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win at least 4.5 more games than Alex de Minaur?Yes 47.5%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win at least 7.5 more games than Alex de Minaur?Yes 16%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
ATP #1 Ranked Men's Singles Player on Dec 31, 2026?

ATP #1 Ranked Men's Singles Player on Dec 31, 2026?

PM $81.5K · K 149.5K contracts

Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

Kalshi: Who will be the #1 ranked ATP men's singles player on Dec 31, 2026? (Alexander Zverev)

Related contracts

PM Yes 98%Rules differK Yes 99%

Will Carlos Alcaraz be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

Kalshi: Who will be the #1 ranked ATP men's singles player on Dec 31, 2026? (Carlos Alcaraz)

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

Kalshi: Who will be the #1 ranked ATP men's singles player on Dec 31, 2026? (Jannik Sinner)

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market