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GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?

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Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?

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Polymarket

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8 markets tracked

Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?	Kalshi	83%
Will the inclusion of red squirrel on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?	Kalshi	80%
Will the inclusion of puffin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?	Kalshi	78%
Will the inclusion of otter on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?	Kalshi	69%
Will the inclusion of robin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?	Kalshi	66%
Will the inclusion of badger on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?	Kalshi	64%
Will the inclusion of kingfisher on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?	Kalshi	63%
Will the inclusion of fox on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?	Kalshi	56%

AI Analysis

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83%

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About This Event

In 2026 If the inclusion of X on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist for the next series of banknotes is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If the inclusion of X on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist for the next series of banknotes is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the inclusion of robin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist for the next series of banknotes is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the inclusion of robin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the inclusion of red squirrel on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the inclusion of puffin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the inclusion of otter on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the inclusion of kingfisher on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the inclusion of fox on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the inclusion of badger on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?

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KALSHI

Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.0¢No 17.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

If the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist for the next series of banknotes is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the inclusion of red squirrel on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the inclusion of red squirrel on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

If the inclusion of red squirrel on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist for the next series of banknotes is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the inclusion of puffin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the inclusion of puffin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

If the inclusion of puffin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist for the next series of banknotes is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the inclusion of otter on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the inclusion of otter on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

If the inclusion of otter on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist for the next series of banknotes is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will the inclusion of robin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the inclusion of robin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

If the inclusion of robin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist for the next series of banknotes is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/I-lR9d" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?"></iframe>

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Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?

Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?

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Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?

Markets (8)

Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of red squirrel on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of red squirrel on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of puffin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of puffin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of otter on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of otter on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of robin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of robin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?

Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of hedgehog on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of red squirrel on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of red squirrel on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of puffin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of puffin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of otter on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of otter on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of robin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

Will the inclusion of robin on the 2026 Bank of England wildlife shortlist be confirmed?

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