Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026

Total Volume

$5.43K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026

Vol

$5.43K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $5.43K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.43K

100%

Kalshi leads

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10 markets tracked

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 110 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 120 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	83%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 130 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	71%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 140 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	50%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 150 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	29%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 160 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	14%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 170 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 180 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 190 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$5.43K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

f-35 aircraft deliveries in 2026 If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above X f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in Lockheed Martin Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** f-35 aircraft deliveries in 2026

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above X f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in Lockheed Martin Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 190 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Lockheed Martin Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.



Kalshi is not affiliated, associat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 190 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 26, 2027): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 180 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 26, 2027): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 170 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 26, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 160 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 150 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 26, 2027): Vol $204
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 140 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 26, 2027): Vol $693
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 130 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 26, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 120 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 26, 2027): Vol $160
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 110 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 26, 2027): Vol $318
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 26, 2027): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026

Volume$5.43K

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Lockheed Martin Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associat

KALSHI

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 110 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 110 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 110 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Lockheed Martin Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associat

KALSHI

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 120 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 120 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 120 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Lockheed Martin Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associat

KALSHI

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 130 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 130 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 130 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Lockheed Martin Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associat

KALSHI

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 140 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 140 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 140 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Lockheed Martin Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associat

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/I9MdvL" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026"></iframe>

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Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026

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Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

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Events (1)

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026

Markets (10)

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 110 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 110 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 120 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 120 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 130 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 130 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 140 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 140 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

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Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

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Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 110 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 110 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 120 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 120 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 130 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 130 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 140 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 140 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?

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