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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

ZCash Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

ZCash Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
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Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T09:00:05.932Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This contract covers a short window of the ZEC/USD price. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The source names the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and states that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Any comparison with another ZCash market should start by checking whether it uses the same data stream, window, and comparison rule.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-02T09:00:05.932Z and retrieved at 2026-11-02T09:18:04.368Z [1]. At observation, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.5 and the "Down" outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not include order book depth, spreads, or trade volume, so it does not show how easily either side could be bought or sold.

The listed end time is 2026-11-03T05:15:00.000Z [1]. The title describes the window as "12:10AM-12:15AM ET" [1]. The contract's closing time is therefore the listed end time, and the title uses a different time zone. The sample includes one market from one event, and the coverage record marks it as complete for that event [1]. Because there is only one outcome pair, no other outcomes can be compared.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the price after the observation time, whether the window has closed, or how the contract resolved. It also does not explain why the two prices are equal at observation. Equal prices in a single snapshot do not indicate the direction of the TWAP, and they say nothing about how many traders hold each side. Because this is a short window, the outcome depends on a price comparison that is not recorded in the supplied evidence.

References

  1. Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T09:00:05.932Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET." The contract is categorized under crypto and tracks the ZEC/USD price of Zcash over a single five-minute window [1]. Its rules state that it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The rules use a time-weighted average rather than a single spot print, so the outcome depends on the averaged price across the window compared with the starting price [1]. The resolution source is not general market data. The rules specify Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream and state that the market concerns that stream rather than other sources or spot markets [1]. This means that a move on another exchange or data feed would not, on its own terms, determine the outcome of this contract [1]. Users reading the contract should therefore check the named data stream, not news reports or other price tickers, when they want to understand how the market will settle [1]. The source records a listed end time of 3 November 2026 at 05:15 UTC and a status of active at the time of retrieval [1]. That listed end time is the contract's closing reference from the contract rules. It is not a record of when the market resolved, and the supplied evidence does not show a resolution outcome.

Why It Matters

The contract measures whether the Zcash price, as recorded in Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, is at or above its starting value at the beginning of a five-minute window [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window, the result reflects the averaged level across the interval rather than only the final price [1]. The contract's rules name one specific data stream, so the question it answers is narrow and defined by that feed rather than by general market sentiment [1]. The snapshot shows two outcomes, Up and Down, each priced at 0.5 at the time of observation [1]. Those values are snapshot prices from a single observation. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of the outcome [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What makes this contract resolve to Up?

According to the rules, it resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the window named in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].

Which price source decides the outcome?

The rules name Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and state that the market concerns only that stream, not other sources or spot markets [1].

Does the listed end time mean the market has already resolved?

No. The source gives a listed end time of 2026-11-03T05:15:00.000Z and an active status at retrieval, which describes the contract's rules and closing reference rather than a completed resolution [1].

Are the prices in this snapshot a forecast of the outcome?

The snapshot lists Up and Down at 0.5 each at the observation time [1]. These are prices from a single snapshot, not executable quotes or verified probabilities of the result [1].

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Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Market Insights

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