BNB Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract, titled "BNB Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET" [1]. Its rule says the market "will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is Binance BNB/USDT, and the rule states that the market is "about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-23T08:00:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should confirm which candle the title refers to before comparing it with other data. The contract rules describe the close and open that will be used "once the data for that candle is finalized" [1]. A listed end time is not a resolution, and the supplied evidence does not show a final resolved outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-23T04:15:04.142Z [1]. These are different times. The prices describe the observation, not the retrieval time or the present moment. The provider status at retrieval was "active" [1].
The observed prices were 0.5 for "Up" and 0.5 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because the two outcomes are equal in this snapshot, the evidence shows no difference between them at observation time. The supplied data does not include volume, order book depth, or trade history, so it cannot show how much trading supported these prices or how many participants were involved.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. Coverage is complete for that event, with one market included and no partial sample [1]. This means no outcome was omitted from this contract, but the sample does not establish that Polymarket lists every possible outcome for the period. Nothing here should be compared with prices from other platforms or other BNB contracts, since their rules, time windows, and close times may differ.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why prices were equal at the observation time, and it does not say whether they changed afterward. It also does not show the BNB/USDT open and close for the relevant candle, so the final outcome cannot be determined from this record. Readers should check the resolution source and the finalized candle data directly.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a binary crypto contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET" on Polymarket, categorized as Crypto. The contract asks whether the BNB/USDT price moves up or down over one specific hourly candle. The market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The two outcomes are "Up" and "Down" [1]. The resolution source is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair. The open and close shown for the relevant 1H candle on Binance are used once that candle's data is finalized [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price on Binance BNB/USDT, not prices on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. This matters because a BNB price move on another venue would not change the outcome, and a reader comparing charts should use the Binance pair named in the rules. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-23T08:00:00.000Z, and its provider status at retrieval was active [1]. The listed end time is a field in the contract record. It is not an announcement of a separate event, and the provider rules tie resolution to the finalized candle data rather than to any other timing statement.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether BNB/USDT on Binance closes at or above its opening price for one specified 1 hour candle [1]. It is a narrow directional question about a single candle, not a general forecast of BNB's price over a longer period. The rules define the measurement precisely: the comparison is close against open, a tie at equal values resolves to "Up", and the Binance pair is the only price reference [1]. Readers should therefore read the resolution rules, rather than general BNB news, to understand what the contract depends on.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair. The rules say prices on other exchanges or trading pairs are not used [1].
When is the data used for resolution taken?
The open and close displayed for the relevant 1H candle on Binance are used once the data for that candle is finalized [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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