What will Mamdani say during All In with Chris Hayes?
K 8.3K contracts
1
8
What will Mamdani say during All In with Chris Hayes?
K 8.3K contracts
1
8
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Event does not qualify at 94.5%.
Kalshi
- Event does not qualify94.5%
- Trump / President1%
- Talarico0.5%
- Socialist / Socialism0.5%
- Midterm / Election0.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 8.3K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
8
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Zohran Mamdani - MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 If Zohran Mamdani says X / Y as part of MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of the MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases, e.g. names, titles, etc. Zohran Mamdani speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify, e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-12T09:00:07.080Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Kalshi event asks whether Zohran Mamdani will say specified words or phrases during MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes, which was "originally scheduled for November 11, 2026" [1]. The rules say a market resolves to Yes if the exact phrase, or a plural or possessive form, is said by Mamdani "speaking in an official capacity" [1]. Presence alone on a livestream does not qualify, and the rules exclude inaudible private conversations, unofficial hot-mic statements, and previously aired or archival content [1].
The event has eight separate markets. Seven are mention contracts for different words or phrases, including "Midterm / Election," "Trump / President," and "Billionaire." The eighth is an "Event does not qualify" market. Under the cancellation terms, that market resolves Yes if the event is definitively cancelled, fails the payout criterion, or is otherwise prevented from resolving normally, and all other markets then resolve No [1]. A postponement keeps markets open only if it is announced by the end of the following calendar day and rescheduled within 14 calendar days [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-12T09:00:07Z, and the application retrieved them at 2026-11-12T09:45:30Z [1]. These are point-in-time snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
In the snapshot, the "Event does not qualify" market shows Yes at 0.995 and No at 0.005 [1]. Each mention contract shows Yes at 0.005 and No at 0.995 [1]. Because these are separate contracts, their prices should not be combined, averaged, or treated as parts of one distribution. The eight markets appear to be listed with a shared end date of 2026-11-26T01:00:00.000Z [1]. That listed close time does not indicate when the broadcast occurred or whether it aired.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the broadcast outcome, any transcript, or any announcement about whether the program was cancelled or postponed. Without those, the snapshot cannot show how any mention contract will resolve. The source lists the event provider status as active, but it does not supply a listed end time for the event itself [1].
The sample includes all eight saved markets for this provider event, and the partialSample flag is false [1]. However, the source warns that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Volume is not reported in the evidence, so it cannot be used as a measure of liquidity or trader participation. Price differences between contracts also do not identify an arbitrage opportunity, since the wording and resolution conditions differ.
References
- Kalshi: What will Mamdani say during All In with Chris Hayes?. Provider data observed 2026-11-12T09:00:07.080Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 12, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a mention market tied to a specific broadcast. The event title asks what Zohran Mamdani will say during MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes, a show the source describes as originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 [1]. The market is listed on Kalshi as an official source [1]. Its basic rule is that the market resolves to Yes if Mamdani says a specified word or phrase as part of that broadcast [1]. The resolution rules set out what counts. The exact phrase or word counts, as do a plural or possessive form of it, and plural nouns inside proper nouns and noun phrases [1]. Grammatical or tense inflections are otherwise not included [1]. For phrases with slashes, either word satisfies the criterion [1]. The speech must be Mamdani speaking in an official capacity [1]. Additional content not included in the original broadcast does not count, and mere presence on a livestream is not enough. The rules give examples such as inaudible private conversations on camera and unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic [1]. Previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate events are excluded unless otherwise specified [1]. Resolution is based on video of the broadcast from the live stream. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using video, internal and external official transcripts of the broadcast are used [1]. The rules also address cancellations and delays. If the event is definitively cancelled, fails to qualify, or cannot resolve normally, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and the other markets resolve to No [1]. If the event is postponed and the postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day, with rescheduling within 14 calendar days, the markets remain open [1]. The market closes and expires early if the event occurs [1]. The saved event includes several word-specific markets, each covering a different word or phrase, such as "Midterm / Election", "Afford / Affordable / Affordability", "Trump / President", "Immigrant / Immigration", "Socialist / Socialism", "Talarico", and "Billionaire" [1]. Each market is a separate contract with its own rules, so they should not be read as parts of one combined outcome.
Historical Context
The supplied background describes Mamdani's record in office and in the state legislature, and Hayes's role as host of the show and former host of a weekend MSNBC program [2][3]. The sources do not describe the history of mention markets or any earlier broadcasts in this series, so that history is not covered here.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specified word or phrase is spoken by Mamdani in an official capacity during one scheduled broadcast [1]. It is narrower than a general question about his views, because the rules require the words to be spoken in the broadcast itself and in an official capacity, and they exclude private remarks, hot mic comments, and archival clips [1]. The title identifies the show as All In with Chris Hayes, which the source describes as a weekday news and opinion show on MS NOW [1][2]. The date in the event title and contract rules is the originally scheduled date of the broadcast, which the source gives as November 11, 2026 [1]. The listed contract end date is a closing time for the market and is not a record that the broadcast took place on that date [1]. The supplied evidence does not say whether the broadcast aired as scheduled, was postponed, or was cancelled, so those outcomes cannot be confirmed from this record.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-12 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes result require?
A Yes result requires Mamdani to say the exact word or phrase, or a plural or possessive form, while speaking in an official capacity during the broadcast [1]. Presence on a livestream alone is not enough, and unofficial or private remarks do not count [1].
Do slashed phrases need both words?
No. For phrases with slashes, either word satisfies the criterion [1].
What happens if the broadcast is cancelled?
If the event is definitively cancelled or otherwise fails to qualify, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No [1].
What happens if the broadcast is postponed?
If the event is postponed and the postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled within 14 calendar days, the markets remain open [1].
How is the outcome checked?
Resolution uses video of the broadcast from the live stream. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus from video, official transcripts of the broadcast are used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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