Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single-market snapshot from Polymarket for a short Dogecoin price window. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns this stream "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T07:10:00.000Z [1]. The title gives the window as "3:05AM-3:10AM ET," so the listed end time is the close of that window, not an announced event date. The rules define resolution by this data stream, so a reader should not assume it matches prices on other exchanges or spot venues.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T11:16:57.382Z [1]. These are different moments. The prices below describe the provider's data at the observation time only. They are not a live reading for the time you are reading this.
The saved event lists two outcomes, each at a price of 0.5: "Up" and "Down" [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not include order book depth, bid and ask spreads, or traded volume, so it cannot show how easily a position could be entered or exited.
The sample covers one market in one provider event. The coverage record shows one market, all of which is included, with no partial sample [1]. Because this is a single two-outcome contract, there is no other outcome to compare, and nothing here should be read as a cross-platform comparison.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are, and it does not say how many traders hold either side. It also does not show whether the market has changed since the observation time. The provider status was "active" when retrieved [1], but that describes the provider record, not the price now.
Contract wording matters for any comparison. A similarly titled market on another platform could use a different data source, a different averaging method, or a different time window. Those differences would change what each contract measures, so price gaps between them should not be treated as an opportunity without checking the rules.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Polymarket asking whether Dogecoin (DOGE) will move up or down over a specific five-minute period. The contract is titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET" and is in the Crypto category [1]. The rules define the outcome by comparing two prices. The market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract therefore does not ask whether the price is higher at the end of the window than at the start in a simple spot sense. It uses an average across the window, compared against the starting price. The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream, "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing the contract with prices on a particular exchange or chart would therefore be looking at a different reference. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T07:10:00.000Z, which is 3:10 AM Eastern Daylight Time on October 27 [1]. That timestamp is a date written in the contract rules. It describes when the contract's measured window closes, not an announced event, and it does not by itself show that the outcome has been determined. The source record shows the provider status as active [1]. The status and any price shown in this article reflect the time the provider data was observed, not the time you are reading it.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink DOGE/USD time-weighted average price over the specified five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the measure is an average rather than a single closing print, the result depends on the path of prices during the window as well as the starting level. Because the reference is one named data stream, the contract's outcome is tied to that feed's values rather than to the broader market. Readers interested in the contract should note that a price shown for either outcome is a snapshot and not an executable quote or a verified probability of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the "Up" outcome require?
The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the title's time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What does the "Down" outcome require?
The market resolves to "Down" if the condition for "Up" is not met, meaning the time-weighted average price is below the price at the beginning of the range [1].
Which price source determines the result?
The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, available at the Chainlink data streams page named in the rules [1]. The rules say other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the measured window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T07:10:00.000Z, which corresponds to 3:10 AM ET on October 27 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
PM $0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
PM $0
ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.