This contract is a Polymarket event titled "NCAA Football: Utah 2026 Win Total." Each market asks whether Utah's regular-season win total in 2026 will be greater than a stated number. The contract resolves to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds that number, and to "No" otherwise [1]. The saved sample for this event contains five thresholds: more than 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, and 10.5 wins. Each threshold is a separate market with its own Yes and No outcomes [1]. The season itself is described in Wikipedia's article on the 2026 NCAA Division I FBS football season. That article says the regular season began on August 29 and is scheduled to end on December 12, with the postseason beginning on December 15 and the College Football Playoff National Championship set for January 25, 2027 [2]. The article also describes this as the third season of the 12-team College Football Playoff system [2]. These dates describe the published season schedule. They are not the contract's resolution date, and the contract rules allow a later window for counting. The contract counts only official regular-season games. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count, even if the NCAA recognizes them as such [1]. Only games that were played and ended in a win count toward the total. If a game is canceled, postponed, forfeited, or otherwise not played, it does not count as a win [1]. The contract rules also set a deadline. If the 2026 regular season is cancelled, is postponed after December 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or if the number of wins cannot be determined within that window, the market resolves to "No" [1]. The rules name official NCAA and conference records as the primary resolution source, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. Across the five sampled markets, the listed end times are not identical. Some are shown as December 12, 2026 at 23:59 and others as December 27, 2026 at 04:59 UTC [1]. Under the contract rules, these are closing or deadline terms, not announced event dates for games. The reader should treat them as the terms recorded for each market. Prices on this platform are snapshots at the time they were observed. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of any outcome. A market price being different from another contract's price does not by itself create an arbitrage opportunity.

Historical Context

The season is the 157th season of college football in the United States and the 121st season organized by the NCAA, according to Wikipedia's article on the 2026 season [2]. Wikipedia also maintains a list of college football teams ranked by total wins and winning percentage across NCAA divisions [3]. That list describes the historical record of teams in general, but the supplied material does not provide Utah's past win totals, so this article does not compare the contract's thresholds with previous seasons.

Frequently Asked Questions