Will Drake and Metro Boomin make a song together this year?
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Will Drake and Metro Boomin make a song together this year?
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
About This Event
Before 2027 If Drake and Metro Boomin make a song together before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Current Market Outlook
Kalshi traders give this a 17% chance. That means the market sees a collaboration as unlikely but not impossible. A 17% probability is roughly equivalent to +488 in American odds, suggesting the market believes the feud between Drake and Metro Boomin runs deeper than most fans hope.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The core issue is the Kendrick Lamar beef. Metro Boomin produced "Like That," the track where Kendrick called out Drake and J. Cole, igniting the 2024 rap war. Metro then sided openly with Kendrick, releasing "BBL Drizzy" and taunting Drake on social media. Drake responded with "Family Matters," which included shots at Metro. That level of public animosity doesn't fade quickly.
There's also a business angle. Metro Boomin is one of the most sought-after producers in hip-hop. He doesn't need a Drake placement. His 2023 album Heroes & Villains and his work on Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse solidified his independence. Drake, meanwhile, has been working with producers like Bnyx and Tay Keith, signaling a shift away from the Metro-style sound that dominated Her Loss and For All the Dogs.
The 2027 timeline matters. Three years is a long time in rap beefs. Jay-Z and Nas reconciled. 50 Cent and Game eventually worked together. But Metro has been vocal about his loyalty to Kendrick, and Drake has a history of holding grudges (see: Pusha T, Kanye).
What Could Change These Odds
A major reconciliation event would shift the market. If both artists appear at the same event or if Metro produces a track for a Drake collaborator (like 21 Savage or Lil Baby), the odds could jump to 30-40%. A direct apology or public olive branch from either side would push it past 50%.
The market could also move if Drake's commercial performance dips. He needs Metro's production style less now, but if his next album underperforms, the pressure to reunite with hitmakers grows. Conversely, if Metro's next project flops without A-list vocalists, he might reach out.
The early close condition is unusual. If they make a song, the market resolves immediately. That means no betting on the exact release date. It's a straight yes/no binary.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Overview
This prediction market asks whether Drake and Metro Boomin will release a new song together before January 1, 2027. Drake is a Canadian rapper and singer, born Aubrey Drake Graham in 1986, who has dominated global music charts for over a decade with albums like 'Take Care' (2011) and 'Scorpion' (2018). Metro Boomin, born Leland Tyler Wayne in 1993, is an American record producer and DJ known for shaping modern hip-hop and trap music through works like 'Heroes & Villains' (2022) and his production on albums by Future, 21 Savage, and The Weeknd. The two artists have collaborated before, most notably on the 2015 track 'Jumpman' with Future, but their relationship has been strained by public feuds and legal disputes in recent years. The market reflects ongoing speculation about whether they can reconcile their differences to produce new music within a three-year window ending in 2027. Interest in this topic spiked after a series of diss tracks and social media exchanges in 2023 and 2024, with fans and industry observers watching for any signs of a thaw. The outcome could signal shifts in hip-hop alliances and the commercial power of artist-producer partnerships in streaming-era music.
Historical Context
Drake and Metro Boomin first collaborated in 2013 on the track 'The Language' from Drake's album 'Nothing Was the Same', though Metro Boomin's contribution was uncredited. Their first official collaboration came in 2015 with 'Jumpman', a track from Drake and Future's joint mixtape 'What a Time to Be Alive', produced by Metro Boomin. The song peaked at number 12 on the Billboard Hot 100 and became a club staple. They worked together again in 2016 on 'Sneakin'', a single featuring 21 Savage, and on several tracks from Drake's 2017 album 'More Life', including 'Fake Love' and 'Portland'. The partnership was commercially successful but began to fray in 2018. In October 2023, Metro Boomin tweeted a cryptic message that many interpreted as a diss toward Drake, referencing Drake's alleged use of ghostwriters. The feud escalated in March 2024 when Metro Boomin, Future, and Kendrick Lamar released 'Like That', a track that directly attacked Drake and J. Cole. Drake responded with several diss tracks, including 'Push Ups' and 'The Heart Part 6', the latter of which accused Metro Boomin of leaking information. The feud has not resulted in physical violence but has generated millions of streams and extensive media coverage. As of 2025, the two artists have not released a song together since 2017, a gap of over seven years.
Why It Matters
This prediction market matters because it reflects the state of hip-hop's most powerful alliances and rivalries. Drake and Metro Boomin represent two poles of modern rap: Drake the commercial juggernaut with crossover appeal, and Metro Boomin the producer who defines the sound of trap music. A collaboration would signal a major reconciliation and could produce a chart-topping single, given their combined streaming power. Drake has over 80 million monthly listeners on Spotify, and Metro Boomin's production credits have generated billions of streams. The economic stakes are high: a single could earn millions in streaming revenue, touring income, and brand endorsements. The broader cultural impact involves the future of hip-hop feuds. The Drake-Kendrick-Metro conflict has been one of the most talked-about in recent rap history, drawing comparisons to the East Coast-West Coast feud of the 1990s. A collaboration would reset industry dynamics and could influence how other artists navigate personal conflicts for commercial gain. Fans and investors are watching to see if money and legacy can overcome personal animosity in an industry where feuds often boost album sales.
Current Status
As of mid-2025, Drake and Metro Boomin have not publicly reconciled. The feud remains active, with neither artist signaling a desire to collaborate. In February 2025, Metro Boomin released a statement on X (formerly Twitter) saying he had 'no interest in working with people who don't respect the craft,' widely interpreted as a reference to Drake. Drake, meanwhile, has focused on his 'It's All a Blur' tour and hinted at a new album in a March 2025 interview with Apple Music, but did not mention Metro Boomin. Industry insiders, including producer and collaborator Noah '40' Shebib, have suggested that a collaboration is unlikely unless both parties resolve personal grievances. The prediction market will resolve to Yes if any new song featuring both artists is released before January 1, 2027, regardless of whether it is a single, album track, or feature on another artist's project.
Frequently Asked Questions
What songs have Drake and Metro Boomin made together?
Drake and Metro Boomin have collaborated on several songs, including 'Jumpman' (2015) with Future, 'Sneakin'' (2016) with 21 Savage, and tracks on Drake's 2017 album 'More Life' such as 'Fake Love' and 'Portland'. Their last official collaboration was in 2017.
Why did Drake and Metro Boomin fall out?
The falling out began in 2023 when Metro Boomin publicly criticized Drake on social media, and escalated in 2024 when Metro Boomin produced 'Like That' for Kendrick Lamar and Future, a diss track targeting Drake. Drake responded with his own diss tracks, deepening the rift.
Will Drake and Metro Boomin ever work together again?
As of 2025, a collaboration appears unlikely due to ongoing public feuding and personal animosity. However, the prediction market allows for the possibility before 2027, and industry reconciliations have happened before, such as Jay-Z and Nas after their 2000s feud.
Who is Metro Boomin and why is he important?
Metro Boomin is a Grammy-nominated record producer and DJ, born in 1993, known for defining the trap music sound of the 2010s. He has produced for artists like Future, 21 Savage, and The Weeknd, and has over 40 Billboard Hot 100 hits. His importance lies in his influence on modern hip-hop production.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
