Atlanta vs Golden State: Second Half Spread
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Atlanta vs Golden State: Second Half Spread
K 0 contracts
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7
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
7
Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
ATL vs GS (Oct 19) If Golden State wins by more than X points in the 2nd half, not including overtime, of the Atlanta vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: This market does not include overtime. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days. If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This saved analysis is awaiting a background update. Its prices and claims may be outdated; compare them with the dated market data above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied rules cover the second-half margin in the Atlanta vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market resolves on whether one team wins the second half by more than a stated number of points, and the rules state that overtime is excluded [1]. The "Golden State wins" and "Atlanta wins" contracts therefore measure different thresholds for different teams, so they should not be read as one combined distribution.
The rules also set timing terms. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market "will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days" [1]. If the game is not played, or is rescheduled more than 2 days out, "all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1]. The market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The market records list an end date of October 19, 2026 at 19:30 UTC, but the source states that its listed end time is "not supplied" [1]. That end date should be treated as a provider field, not a confirmed resolution time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is October 16, 2026 at 21:00 UTC. The source was retrieved at 01:47 UTC on October 17, 2026 [1]. These prices describe that earlier observation and are not live quotes.
Within this saved sample, the Golden State Yes prices run from 0.47 for more than 1.5 points to 0.31 for more than 9.5 points. The Atlanta Yes prices run from 0.415 for more than 1.5 points to 0.33 for more than 6.5 points. The sample contains seven markets from one platform, and the coverage record shows all seven were included [1]. There is no Atlanta more-than-9.5-points contract in this sample, so no price should be inferred for it. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the volume data is not included in this summary.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price was set or changed. It also does not report trader counts, recent news, or the reliability of similar markets. Because only one platform is supplied, no cross-platform comparison is possible, and differing prices across providers would not by themselves indicate an opportunity. The source states that the saved markets are not proof that every real-world outcome is listed [1]. The game date and resolution outcome are not confirmed in the supplied evidence.
References
- Kalshi: Atlanta vs Golden State: Second Half Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a second-half spread market tied to a women's Pro Basketball game between Atlanta and Golden State. The provider describes the game as "originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026" [1]. The market resolves according to the margin in the second half only. If Golden State wins the second half by more than a stated number of points, the market resolves to Yes, and overtime is excluded from the calculation [1]. The saved event contains seven separate markets. Each one asks whether a specific team will win the second half by more than a particular point threshold. The saved markets cover Golden State thresholds of 1.5, 3.5, 6.5 and 9.5 points, and Atlanta thresholds of 1.5, 3.5 and 6.5 points [1]. Each market is a separate yes or no contract, so a higher threshold asks a different question from a lower one for the same team. The provider sets out rules for postponement and closing. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, within two days. If the game is cancelled and not played, or is rescheduled more than two days out, all markets resolve to a fair price under the rules [1]. The provider also states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider record lists the provider status as active and does not supply a listed end time [1]. The market data attached to the event shows an end date of October 19, 2026 at 19:30 UTC, but that is a date in the saved contract data and does not establish when the game will be played or when the contract will settle. The provider also notes that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league, and that trademarks and brand names belong to their owners [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the difference in points scored in the second half, excluding overtime, against a chosen threshold [1]. It does not measure who wins the full game. A team could lose the game and still win the second half by a margin that satisfies one of the listed thresholds, so the second-half margin is a separate question from the final result [1]. The saved prices are a snapshot taken at 21:00 UTC on October 16, 2026 [1]. In that snapshot, the Yes price for Golden State winning the second half by more than 1.5 points was 0.47, and the Yes price for Golden State winning by more than 9.5 points was 0.31 [1]. These figures are observed prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not describe the market at the time this article is read.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the second-half spread market include overtime?
No. The provider states that the market does not include overtime and measures the margin only for the second half of regulation play [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
The provider says the market remains open if the game is postponed or delayed and closes after the rescheduled game has finished, within two days [1]. If the cancelled game is not played, or is rescheduled further than two days out, all markets resolve to a fair price under the contract rules [1].
Why do the seven markets have different thresholds?
Each market asks whether one team will win the second half by more than a different point threshold. The saved markets use thresholds of 1.5, 3.5, 6.5 and 9.5 points for Golden State and 1.5, 3.5 and 6.5 points for Atlanta [1].
Does a price on this contract show the chance that the outcome will happen?
The saved prices are snapshots from the provider and are not verified probabilities or executable quotes [1]. A Yes price reflects the observed contract price at that time only.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
