Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Polymarket event covers the first team to score in the match between CA Bucaramanga and AD Pasto. The contract text limits resolution to "the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time" and excludes extra time and penalty shoot-outs [1]. Its listed end time is 2026-10-31T01:05:00.000Z [1].

The three markets use different wording. The two team markets ask whether each side will score first. The third asks "Neither team to score first?" The contract says the market "will resolve 'Neither'" if neither team scores in that window, or if the game is canceled with no make-up game [1]. The contract also says that if the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed [1].

The contract names the scheduled date as "August 17, 2026 at 5:05 PM ET" [1]. That date is earlier than the observation time in this snapshot, so the supplied evidence does not establish whether the match has been played, postponed, or canceled. The date should not be read as an upcoming event.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed the prices at 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:21:20.603Z [1]. These are snapshot quotes, not executable prices or verified probabilities.

The saved Yes prices were 0.505 for Bucaramanga, 0.445 for Pasto, and 0.445 for "Neither" [1]. The No prices were 0.495, 0.555, and 0.555 respectively [1]. Each market's Yes and No prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot. The three Yes prices sum to more than 1.00, so the figures should be compared as separate quotes rather than read as a single probability distribution.

The evidence does not explain why prices are at these levels. It also does not show how many traders hold each position or how much liquidity exists behind each quote.

What remains uncertain

The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. The sample warning still applies: this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Because only one platform is supplied, no cross-platform comparison is possible.

The evidence does not include the match result, a postponement notice, or any current status update. Because the contract's resolution depends on official statistics or, if those are unavailable within 2 hours, a consensus of credible reporting [1], the outcome cannot be determined from this snapshot. Readers should check the current status of the match and the contract before relying on any price.

References

1. Polymarket: CA Bucaramanga vs. AD Pasto - First Team to Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.