Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly: Total Goals
K 2.34 contracts
1
6
Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly: Total Goals
K 2.34 contracts
1
6
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 2.34 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
6
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
SHA vs FAI (Oct 19) If over X goals are scored in the Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi contracts in this snapshot ask whether a set number of goals will be scored in the Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly match. The event page states that the market resolves to Yes if over X goals are scored "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. Each threshold is a separate Yes/No contract: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. The page also says the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. Because the rules exclude extra time and penalties, a contract's outcome depends on goals in regulation play only.
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-16T21:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T00:19:12Z [1]. These are prices from that observation, not current quotes. The Yes prices were 0.83 for over 1.5, 0.82 for over 0.5, 0.605 for over 2.5, 0.38 for over 3.5, 0.205 for over 4.5, and 0.085 for over 5.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The over 1.5 contract is priced slightly above the over 0.5 contract. Lower thresholds are usually expected to be priced at or above higher ones, so this small gap is worth noting as a feature of this snapshot rather than a stable pattern. The sample covers all six saved markets for this one Kalshi event, so no outcome is missing from it. The sample does not establish that the provider lists every possible total. Because only one platform appears, there is no cross-platform comparison here, and the prices should not be averaged with prices from other contracts or platforms.
What remains uncertain
The source excerpt says the listed end time is "not supplied" [1], yet the market records carry an end date of 2026-10-21T18:00:00Z. The event itself is described as "originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026" [1], which is a schedule description rather than a confirmed date of play. The evidence does not explain whether the match was played as scheduled, and this snapshot does not show any later status change. Readers should treat the listed close time as unconfirmed and check the provider page for current status before relying on it.
References
- Kalshi: Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly: Total Goals. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a Kalshi event titled "Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly: Total Goals" that covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al-Shabab and Al-Faisaly. The match was originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 [1]. Each contract in the event asks whether the total number of goals will be over a stated threshold. The event lists six thresholds: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 and 5.5 goals [1]. The rules state that the market resolves to Yes if more goals than the stated number are scored in the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not counted [1]. The provider's rules also say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider lists the event status as active, and the saved market records show an end date of October 21, 2026 at 18:00 UTC [1]. That date is a market field in the provider data. It is not an announced match date or a confirmed resolution time. The saved event includes all six markets for this match, so this record is not a partial selection of thresholds [1]. In the provider snapshot observed on October 16, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, the Yes prices were 0.83 for over 1.5 goals, 0.82 for over 0.5 goals, 0.605 for over 2.5 goals, 0.38 for over 3.5 goals, 0.205 for over 4.5 goals and 0.085 for over 5.5 goals [1]. These are snapshot prices from that observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The over 1.5 price is slightly above the over 0.5 price in this snapshot, and the record does not explain that ordering, so it should not be read as a reliable estimate of scoring chances. The Kalshi rules state that the platform is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the total number of goals in one specific match, using a threshold for each market. A buyer of a Yes contract on a given threshold is betting that the total will exceed that number under the stated rules, and the No side takes the opposite position [1]. Because the rules exclude extra time and penalties, a match that goes beyond regulation time still resolves based on the goals scored within 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. Anyone reading the prices should note that they are a single observed snapshot from the provider, and that a price reflects the market at that moment rather than a confirmed outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes contract on this event pay out on?
The market resolves to Yes if more goals than the stated threshold are scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not included [1].
Do goals scored in extra time or a penalty shootout count?
No. The provider's rules say the count covers 90 minutes plus stoppage time and does not include extra time or penalties [1].
When does this market close?
The rules say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The saved market records list an end date of October 21, 2026 at 18:00 UTC, which is a provider data field rather than a confirmed match or resolution time [1].
Is Kalshi affiliated with the Saudi Pro League?
The provider states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
What do the prices in this event show?
The prices are snapshots from a single provider observation on October 16, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, showing the Yes and No price for each threshold [1]. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities of the match result.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
