Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs 5star (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs
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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs 5star (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between 1WIN and 5star in the Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win the match against 5star. This market will resolve to "5star" if 5star win the match against 1WIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T21:00:06.013Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Polymarket event covers the Counter-Strike semifinal between 1WIN and 5star in the Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET [1]. The match winner contract resolves to "1WIN" if 1WIN wins, and to "5star" if 5star wins [1]. A canceled or tied match, or a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before the start, resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or the market resolves 50-50 [1].
The saved event includes three other contracts: Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, and Games Total: Over/Under 2.5 [1]. These have different wording and listed end times. The two map contracts list an end time of 2026-10-31T17:00:00.000Z, while the match winner and the total games contract list 2026-10-31T19:00:00.000Z [1]. The resolution source is official information from hltv.org, with a consensus of credible reporting permitted if final results are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-24T21:00:06.013Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T22:52:04.202Z [1]. These are historical records, not live prices. The listed contracts are not all the same question, so each should be read on its own terms.
Every outcome in the saved event is priced at 0.5 in this snapshot: 1WIN and 5star for each map winner and the match winner, and Over and Under for the games total [1]. The coverage record states that all four markets were included and that the sample is not partial for this event [1]. Even so, the sample describes this saved provider event only and does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. Because the prices are equal, the snapshot shows no quoted lean toward either team or either side of the total in this observation. It does not show how many traders hold each view, and the quoted prices are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
What remains uncertain
This snapshot does not show the current price, the reasons for any price, or the outcome of the match. The evidence contains no information about team form, news, or the result, and no reliable basis for judging forecasting accuracy. Readers should also note that the two map contracts and the match winner resolve on different questions, so their prices should not be combined. Identical prices across contracts do not indicate an arbitrage opportunity. Anyone relying on these figures should check the live provider page and the contract rules at the time of use.
References
- Polymarket: Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs 5star (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T21:00:06.013Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This Polymarket event covers a Counter-Strike match between 1WIN and 5star in the Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs, a best-of-three (BO3) series. The source describes it as the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match, initially scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET [1]. The event includes a match winner market, two map winner markets (Map 1 and Map 2), and a games total market for over or under 2.5 games [1]. The match winner market resolves to the team that wins the match, and the source specifies a 50-50 outcome if the match is canceled without being played or ends in a tie [1]. The contracts also set rules for postponements. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, which is 14 calendar days after the original start [1]. If a rescheduled start time has been announced and falls on or before that deadline, the market resolves based on the match as played. Otherwise, the market resolves 50-50 even if the match is later played [1]. The source also addresses forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers. A match that begins but does not finish can resolve to the team that wins because of an opponent's forfeit, disqualification, or walkover. A match that ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before it starts resolves 50-50 [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2026-10-31T19:00:00.000Z, and the map and total markets carry the end dates shown in the saved data [1]. These are contract closing and rule dates, not confirmed times at which the match will be played or reported.
Why It Matters
The contracts measure the outcome of a specific scheduled Counter-Strike series. The match winner market tracks which of the two named teams wins the match, and the map and total markets track individual map results and whether the number of games is above or below 2.5 [1]. The saved snapshot for all four markets shows each outcome priced at 0.5 at the observation time [1]. These figures are snapshots of the provider's listed prices at that moment. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of either team winning. Because the snapshot shows equal prices, it reflects only the state of the market at that time, not a forecast of the match. The resolution source named in the rules is official information from hltv.org. If hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting, including video evidence, may be used instead [1]. The contract also allows minor naming differences, such as sponsor tags or regional identifiers, to refer to the same team when the intended team can be clearly identified within the competition [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is postponed?
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before that deadline by the time it passes, the market resolves based on the match as played. Otherwise, it resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or tied?
If the match is canceled and not played at all, or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
What source determines the result?
The stated resolution source is official information from hltv.org. If hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used, including video evidence [1].
Does a forfeit resolve to the winning team?
If a match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the market resolves to the team that wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before it starts, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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