Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?
K 494.98 contracts
1
26
Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?
K 494.98 contracts
1
26
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 11, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Choosin' Texas at 97.5%.
Kalshi
- Choosin' Texas97.5%
- HOUSEWIFE80%
- Boston80%
- Nicole Kidman78.5%
- STOP THE WEDDING!53%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 494.98 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
26
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Nov 21, 2026 If X is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-11T15:00:06.407Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
Every market in this sample comes from one Kalshi event asking whether a named song will be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of Nov 21, 2026 [1]. The rules state that if the song is Top 10 on that chart, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The Nov 21, 2026 date is the chart week named in the contract rules, not a separate announced event. The source also says that if the event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET, and it notes that Billboard has not endorsed the product [1]. Each market is a separate song, so the contracts are not interchangeable.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these markets at 2026-11-11T15:00:06.407Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-11T16:23:25.182Z [1]. These are snapshot prices from that observation time, not current quotes, and they are not executable prices or verified probabilities.
In the included sample, Choosin' Texas has a Yes price of 0.975. HOUSEWIFE and Boston are each at 0.80. Patient Zero, STOP THE WEDDING!, and stupid song are each at 0.53. Mr. Brightside, Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree, Mr. Do Something, All I Want For Christmas Is You, Last Christmas, and Nicole Kidman are each at 0.485 [1].
The sample is partial. Twelve of 26 markets from this one event are included, and the selection ranks markets by Yes price, then volume [1]. Because the sample is partial, these 12 markets should not be read as the full field, and no conclusion should be drawn about the 14 omitted markets. All figures come from a single provider event, so no cross-platform or cross-event comparison is valid.
What remains uncertain
The source lists the provider status as active but does not supply a listed end time [1]. The market records show an endDate of 2026-12-05T15:00:00.000Z [1]. That field is provider data and does not establish when trading closes or when the chart outcome will be known. The evidence also does not include trading volume, liquidity, trader counts, or reasons for any price level. A price near 0.975 or near 0.485 reflects only the snapshot taken at the observation time.
References
- Kalshi: Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?. Provider data observed 2026-11-11T15:00:06.407Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 11, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia contract asks whether a specific song will be in the Top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart week of November 21, 2026. The contract is listed on Kalshi under the event title "Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?" [1]. The rule for the event is that if a named song is in the Top 10 for that week, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The event page describes the Billboard Hot 100 as "an all-genre singles chart in the United States" in the Wikipedia list descriptions [2][3], which explains the scope of the chart being tracked. Each individual market in the saved event asks about a different song. The titles name songs such as "Choosin' Texas," "Patient Zero," "Midnight Sun," "Lies," and "JADED" [1]. Each market has a Yes outcome and a No outcome. The saved snapshot was observed on November 6, 2026 at 12:00 UTC and retrieved the following day [1]. Those prices reflect that observation time only. In that snapshot, the highest Yes price shown is 0.625 for "Choosin' Texas," and most of the other included markets show 0.485 for Yes and 0.515 for No [1]. These are displayed prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and a higher price does not establish that an outcome is more likely. The provider lists each market's end date as December 5, 2026 at 15:00 UTC [1]. That is a date in the market data and not an announced event date. The contract rules say that if the event occurs, the market closes at 10am ET the following day [1]. The rules do not say when the chart week itself will be published, and the provider's listed end time for the event is not supplied [1]. The market sample is partial. The saved event has 18 markets, and 12 are included here [1]. The inclusion rule orders markets by Yes price, then by volume, so the included set reflects that rule rather than the full field. The six markets not shown should not be read as having any particular price. Volume in this context does not measure liquidity or the number of traders.
Historical Context
The supplied sources include Wikipedia list pages titled "List of Billboard Hot 100 top-ten singles in 2025" and "List of Billboard Hot 100 top-ten singles in 2026" [2][3]. Their excerpts describe these lists as collections of singles that charted in the Top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 in each year. The supplied excerpts do not include the contents of those lists, so they cannot be used to describe specific past chart positions.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single, narrow chart outcome: whether a named song appears in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for one specified week, November 21, 2026 [1]. Because each song has its own market under the same event, the contract is a way to express a view on one song's chart performance for that week. The rules state that the Billboard name and marks are descriptive only and that Billboard has not endorsed the product or any affiliation with Kalshi [1]. Traders and readers should therefore treat the contract as a question about a specific chart week with a stated resolution rule, not as a general measure of a song's popularity.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-06 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require?
A Yes outcome requires the named song to be in the Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of November 21, 2026 [1]. The rules do not describe other ways of resolving to Yes.
Are the prices shown the probability of each outcome?
No. The prices are snapshots taken at a specific observation time, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. The saved snapshot was observed on November 6, 2026 and may not reflect current prices.
Is this contract endorsed by Billboard?
No. The contract rules state that the market and its products have not been endorsed by Billboard, and that references to Billboard, the Hot 100, and related marks are descriptive only [1].
Why does this sample not show every market for the event?
The saved event contains 18 markets, and only 12 are included in this sample [1]. The included markets were selected by ordering on Yes price and then volume, so the sample is partial and should not be treated as the full field [1].
When does the market close?
The contract rules say the market will close at 10am ET the following day if the event occurs [1]. The provider's listed end time is not supplied, and the listed end date of December 5, 2026 is a date in the market data rather than an announced event date [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
