HYPE Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET
PM $0
1
1
HYPE Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract asks whether HYPE will close "Up" or "Down" for a specific one-hour candle. The market "will resolve to 'Up' if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title" [1]. The resolution source is Binance's HYPE/USDT pair, and the source states that the market "is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. Resolution uses the displayed open and close "once the data for that candle is finalized" [1]. The source also lists an end time of "2026-10-16T00:00:00.000Z" [1]. That listed time is a contract field, not a record that the market has resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:07:23.177Z [1]. It lists two outcomes: "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are prices from that observation time only and should not be read as the current market. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The snapshot does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity.
The sample covers one saved market from one provider event. The coverage record shows "totalMarkets": 1, "includedMarkets": 1, and "partialSample": false [1]. No other platform's HYPE contract appears in this evidence, so this snapshot cannot be compared with contracts on other platforms. A different wording, resolution source, or closing time would make a comparison misleading. The Binance-specific rule is a material difference if another contract references another exchange or trading pair.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the two prices sit at 0.5, and it does not report any later prices, final candle data, or resolution outcome. It also does not show how the title's "7PM ET" time maps to the listed end time beyond the figures quoted above. Readers should check the live contract rules and the finalized Binance candle before drawing any conclusion about how the market resolved.
References
- Polymarket: HYPE Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket contract titled "HYPE Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET." It belongs to the crypto category and asks whether the price of HYPE will rise or fall over one specific one-hour period. The contract resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date given in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract is therefore a short-term directional question about a single candle rather than a question about a longer trend or a price target. The resolution source is Binance. The rules name the HYPE/USDT pair on Binance's futures market, and state that the open and close shown for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized [1]. The rules also specify that the market concerns the price on Binance HYPE/USDT only, not prices on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore check the Binance chart, not a price aggregator or another venue, when considering how it will resolve. At the time of the saved snapshot, the provider listed the market as active, with an end time of October 16, 2026 at 00:00 UTC [1]. The saved prices were 0.5 for "Up" and 0.5 for "Down" [1]. These figures describe one observation at one moment. They are not a live quote, cannot be traded at these exact values, and are not a verified probability that either outcome will occur.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether HYPE/USDT on Binance finishes its specified one-hour candle at or above the level at which that candle opened [1]. Because the comparison is between the open and close of a single candle, the outcome depends only on the direction of price across that hour, and a close exactly equal to the open resolves "Up" [1]. The contract is useful for understanding how a short-window price question is defined: the exchange, the trading pair, the candle, and the comparison rule all need to be specified for the outcome to be unambiguous, and the rules set each of these out [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which price determines the outcome?
The outcome is based on the open and close shown for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle on Binance, using the candle that begins at the time in the title. The close and open are used once data for that candle is finalized [1].
What happens if the close equals the open?
The market resolves to "Up" when the close price is greater than or equal to the open price, so an exactly equal close and open would resolve "Up" [1].
Do prices on other exchanges affect the result?
No. The rules state that the market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
What was the status and end time recorded for the contract?
The provider recorded the market as active with a listed end time of 2026-10-16T00:00:00.000Z [1]. The end time in the rules is a listed field and does not by itself confirm when or how the market will settle.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
