ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a short-window price contract on ZEC/USD. According to the rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The window in the title is 8:15 AM to 8:20 AM ET on October 26 [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a ZEC price on another exchange should expect different results if those sources differ from the Chainlink stream.
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T12:20:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is the contract's listed close, not a statement about when resolution data will be published. The rules also contain the phrase "greater than or equal to," so a flat TWAP would resolve "Up" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is from 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-25T16:46:17.588Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier snapshot only. They do not show the market now, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
At the observation time, the saved outcomes were "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. The two prices are equal, so the snapshot does not indicate a preferred direction for this contract. The record does not explain why the prices were set at these levels, and it does not report trading volume or the number of participants.
The sample covers one Polymarket market, and the coverage record shows 1 included out of 1 total market with no partial sample flag [1]. That means this single event is the full saved set for this record. It does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed, and no other contracts from this event or other platforms are compared here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include any price after the observation time, so the current state of this market cannot be determined from this record. It also does not show how the TWAP has moved within the window, what the price was at the start of the window, or whether any result has been reached. Because the rules compare the window TWAP with the starting price, the outcome depends on data that is not part of this snapshot [1].
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET", listed in the Crypto category on Polymarket [1]. The contract concerns the price of ZCash measured against U.S. dollars over a five-minute window. According to the source, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is named as Chainlink, specifically its ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second configuration [1]. The source states that only this Chainlink data stream counts, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because a trader reading a ZCash price on an exchange may see a different figure from the one used for settlement. The saved record shows two outcomes, "Up" and "Down", each with a price of 0.5 at the time of observation [1]. The observation time was 2026-10-25 15:00:05 UTC, and the record was retrieved later that day. These prices are snapshots of the listing at that moment. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The record includes only one market for this event, so no other outcomes are being compared here. The listed end time is 2026-10-26 12:20 UTC, which corresponds to the 8:20 AM ET end of the window in the title [1]. This is a contract rule rather than an announcement of any event, and the record does not show whether the market has closed or been resolved.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether ZCash's time-weighted average price over a specific five-minute window finishes at or above its starting price, using a single named data stream [1]. Because the outcome depends on a TWAP rather than a single trade price, the result reflects an average across the window instead of the price at its endpoint [1]. Traders interested in short-term directional moves in ZCash can use the contract rules to see exactly which price series decides the result.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract measure?
It measures whether the time-weighted average price of ZCash, as generated by Chainlink, over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The source says other sources and spot markets are not used for resolution [1].
Do the 0.5 prices mean each outcome has a 50 percent chance?
No. The record shows prices of 0.5 for both outcomes at the observation time [1]. These are listing snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they do not establish the likelihood of either result.
When does the market end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26 12:20 UTC, which matches the 8:20 AM ET end of the window in the title [1]. The record does not show whether the market has resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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