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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

San Marcos de Arica vs. Puerto Montt - Halftime Result

San Marcos de Arica vs. Puerto Montt - Halftime Result
Vol

PM $0

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Events

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Markets

3

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $0

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

In the upcoming Primera B (Chile) game between San Marcos de Arica and Puerto Montt, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved event is "San Marcos de Arica vs. Puerto Montt - Halftime Result." According to the event excerpt, it covers "halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time" [1]. The three markets are separate Yes/No contracts: a draw at halftime, San Marcos de Arica leading at halftime, and Puerto Montt leading at halftime [1]. The wording matters. The contracts settle on the halftime score under the stated window, not on the full-time result.

The source describes the match as "scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET," and gives a listed end time of 2026-10-18T18:00:00.000Z [1]. That listed time is a contract field, not a confirmed result time, and the excerpt does not say when or how a result will be reported.

Reading the snapshot

The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T03:54:08Z [1]. They describe only that moment. The saved Yes prices were 0.435 for a halftime draw, 0.41 for San Marcos de Arica leading, and 0.155 for Puerto Montt leading [1]. The No prices were 0.565, 0.59, and 0.845 respectively [1].

These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The source does not include volume, depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about how liquid these markets are or how many participants hold each view. The three Yes prices sum to 1.00 in this sample, but that reflects the saved quotes only.

The sample is complete for this event. The coverage record shows three total markets, three included, and no partial sample [1]. Even so, the source notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because the markets use different wording, the prices should not be compared with contracts on other platforms or with other event types.

What remains uncertain

The excerpt does not explain why any price is where it is, and this analysis does not attribute movements to team news, form, or other factors. It contains no information on team lineups, injuries, or any other event outside the saved contract data. It also gives no evidence about how well these prices have predicted past outcomes.

References

  1. Polymarket: San Marcos de Arica vs. Puerto Montt - Halftime Result. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a set of halftime result contracts on Polymarket for a Primera B (Chile) football match between San Marcos de Arica and Puerto Montt. The provider event describes the fixture as scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, and says it contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1]. The saved event includes three binary markets. One asks whether the match will be a draw at halftime. A second asks whether San Marcos de Arica will lead at halftime, and a third asks whether Puerto Montt will lead at halftime. Each market has Yes and No outcomes, and each carries a price snapshot that reflects the saved provider data at the time it was recorded, not a live or executable quote [1]. The saved coverage shows three markets in the event, all three included, with no partial sample flag [1]. The contracts share the same listed end time of 2026-10-18T18:00:00.000Z, and the provider status for the event was recorded as active [1]. A listed end time is a date in the contract rules and is not evidence that the match has been played, that the result has been confirmed, or that the contract has resolved. The evidence available here does not include the match result or any post-match resolution record.

Why It Matters

These contracts measure the score position at halftime, not the final result of the match. The provider describes the scope as halftime result markets covering the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1]. That means a market about a leading team at halftime depends on the score at that point in the match, while a draw market depends on whether the two teams are level at that same point [1]. For readers, the useful distinction is between what each contract asks and what the price represents. Each price is a snapshot from the provider data saved for this event, and the evidence describes these prices only as snapshots rather than verified probabilities or tradable quotes [1]. The three markets address different halftime states, so they should be read as separate questions about one fixture. A saved price for one market does not establish how the others should be valued, and the sample is described as all saved markets for this event rather than proof that every possible real-world halftime outcome is listed [1]. A separate Wikipedia page on the 2026 Copa Chile describes a national cup tournament that began on 30 January 2026 [2]. The evidence does not link that tournament to this specific Primera B fixture, so it is background on a different competition and is not used to explain these contracts.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What period does a halftime result contract cover?

According to the provider event, the halftime result markets cover the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1].

What is the scheduled date of the match behind these contracts?

The provider event describes the Primera B (Chile) game between San Marcos de Arica and Puerto Montt as scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET [1].

Does the listed end time mean the contract has resolved?

No. The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-18T18:00:00.000Z for these markets, but that is a contract date and not a record of resolution or of the match result [1].

Does a price on these markets represent a verified probability?

The available evidence describes the prices as snapshots from the saved provider data, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].

Are all the halftime markets for this event included in the saved data?

The saved coverage lists three markets for the event, all of which were included and not flagged as a partial sample [1]. The sample note states that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1].

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Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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